国内GTAP模型研究进展、热点与前沿——基于CiteSpace的文献计量分析  

Progress,Hotspots and Frontiers of Domestic GTAP Model:A Bibliometric Analysis Based on CiteSpace

作　　者：马家欢 MA Jiahuan(University of Shanghai for Science and Technology,Shanghai 200093,China)

机构地区：[1]上海理工大学,上海200093

出　　处：《对外经贸实务》2024年第6期20-27,共8页Practice in Foreign Economic Relations and Trade

摘　　要：GTAP模型是评估政策冲击的重要分析工具,如何直观地展现该领域的研究热点和演进趋势对我国应对国际贸易新问题具有重要意义。为此,本文以2000-2023年CSSCI和北大核心来源期刊上刊发的370篇GTAP模型相关论文为样本,使用CiteSpace软件对其进行了文献计量分析,揭示了该领域研究文献的基本特征以及研究热点和前沿。结果表明:我国GTAP模型领域研究热度稳步提升,初步形成了核心作者群,但作者和机构合作网络较为分散。通过关键词共现和聚类分析,识别出了我国GTAP模型研究的五大热点问题,分别是:(1)GTAP模型本身的构建;(2)区域合作;(3)关税政策效应;(4)贸易摩擦;(5)经济影响。归纳这五大热点问题,通过关键词突现分析,可以将研究前沿分为早期、中期和近期三个阶段。而近期阶段的研究重点则主要在于逆全球化倾向抬头背景下中国的全球价值链地位变化以及中美贸易摩擦影响等贸易领域的延伸。GTAP model is an important analysis tool to assess the impact of policy.How to intuitively show the research hotspots and evolution trends in the field is of great significance for China to deal with new issues of international trade.Therefore,this paper takes 370 GTAP model-related papers published in CSSCI and Peking University core journals from 2000 to 2023 as samples,using CiteSpace software for bibliometric analysis to reveal the basic characteristics of the research literature in this field,as well as the hotspots and frontiers.The results show that the research interests in the GTAP model in China has steadily increased,with the formation of a core group of authors,although the collaboration network among authors and institutions remains relatively dispersed.Through keyword co-occurrence and clustering analysis,five major research hotspots in China’s GTAP model research were identified:(1)the construction of GTAP model;(2)regional cooperation;(3)the effects of tariff policies;(4)trade frictions;(5)economic impacts.By summarizing these five hotspots and analyzing keywordbursts,the research frontiers can be divided into early,middle and recent stages.The recent stage focuses primarily on the changes of China's position in global value chains and the impact of China-U.S.trade frictions against the backdrop of rising anti-globalization trendencies.

关 键 词：文献计量分析 GTAP模型 CITESPACE 

分 类 号：G250[文化科学—图书馆学] F223[经济管理—国民经济]