中国对RCEP成员国服务贸易效率与潜力研究  

Research on the Efficiency and Potential of China's Trade in Services with RCEP Member Countries

作　　者：张晗[1] 黄蓉 ZHANG Han;HUANG Rong(Hebei Normal University,Shijiazhuang,Hebei 050024,China)

机构地区：[1]河北师范大学,河北石家庄050024

出　　处：《对外经贸实务》2024年第6期46-54,共9页Practice in Foreign Economic Relations and Trade

基　　金：河北省商务厅“RCEP生效对河北省重点行业影响研究”课题(SWT-RCEP-202202003)。

摘　　要：文章以中国对RCEP成员国2005—2021年的服务贸易进出口面板数据为基础,借助构建的随机前沿引力模型,全面剖析并评估了中国与RCEP伙伴国家在服务贸易领域的效率和潜力。结果显示,中国与日本、韩国、新加坡和澳大利亚的服务贸易潜力较高,与柬埔寨、缅甸和老挝的服务贸易潜力相对较低;同时,双边经济规模、货物贸易、自由贸易协定、进口国关税和金融开放程度都能提升贸易效率,而其他RCEP成员国的人口数量、首都地理距离以及拥有共同边界已不是双边服务贸易进出口额的影响因素。未来,我国应依托数字经济转型,优化服务贸易结构,减少关税和非关税壁垒,积极深化与RCEP国家间经贸合作,提升贸易便利化水平。Bassed on panel data of China’s trade in services imports and exports with RCEP member countries from 2005 to 2021,this paper employs a stochastic frontier gravity model to comprehensively analyze and evaluate the efficiency and potential of China’s trade in services with RCEP partner countries.The results show that China has higher trade in services potential with Japan,South Korea,Singapore,and Australia,while the potential is relatively lower with Cambodia,Myanmar and Laos.Additionally,factors like bilateral economic scale,merchandise trade,free trade agreements,import tariffs,and financial openness collectively enhance trade efficiency,whereas other factors like population size,capital city distance,and shared borders among RCEP member countries no longer significantly impact bilateral trade in services volumes.Looking ahead,China should leverage digital economic transformation,optimize the structure of trade in services,reduce both tariff and nontariff barriers,and actively deepen economic and trade cooperation with RCEP countries to enhance trade facilitation.

关 键 词：RECP 服务贸易 贸易效率 随机前沿引力模型 

分 类 号：F742[经济管理—国际贸易]