基于粗糙集的科技战略动态博弈模型  

Modeling dynamic games of science and technology strategies based on rough sets

作　　者：李晓松 杨慧 魏俊峰 孙亚洲 LI Xiaosong;YANG Hui;WEI Junfeng;SUN Yazhou(Military Science Information Research Center,Academy of Military Science,Beijing 100142,China)

机构地区：[1]军事科学院军事科学信息研究中心,北京100142

出　　处：《国防科技》2024年第3期18-24,共7页National Defense Technology

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(23ZDA119);国家自然科学基金项目(72074219)。

摘　　要：科技战略博弈是指国家在科技交往过程中,通过有形和无形的科技资源占有和运用,影响、遏制和对抗对手科技创新发展能力的一系列活动。通过界定科技战略博弈概念,分析国内外研究现状,设计基于粗糙集的科技战略动态博弈整体思路,研究科技战略博弈策略,构建科技战略博弈规则,给出静态和动态博弈结果,并进行案例分析。研究结论可为量化分析科技战略博弈效果提供参考。Games of science and technology strategies are reflected in a series of activities wherein two countries acquire and utilize tangible and intangible scientific and technological resources to influence,contain,and confront each other’s capabilities in science and technology innovation and development during their related interactions.The concept behind games of science and technology strategies is defined,and the current state of research both domestically and internationally is analyzed.Further,a framework for modeling dynamic games of science and technology strategies based on rough sets is designed,strategic options within the games are explored,game rules are formulated,findings from both static and dynamic implementations of the games are presented,and a case study is conducted.Conclusions are drawn to provide references for the quantitative analysis of the effects of these strategic games.

关 键 词：科技战略博弈 粗糙集 战略博弈策略 

分 类 号：E8[军事]