山丘区小流域SCS广义单位线产汇流模型  

Runoff generation and confluence model coupling SCS-CN and general unit hydrograph for small mountainous watersheds

作　　者：邵嘉佳 李彬权[1,2] 孟健 任泽凌 黄华平 SHAO Jiajia;LI Binquan;MENG Jian;REN Zeling;HUANG Huaping(College of Hydrology and Water Resources,Hohai University,Nanjing 210098,China;Cooperative Innovation Center for Water Safety and Hydro Science,Hohai University,Nanjing 210024,China;Hangzhou Hydrology and Water Resources Monitoring Center,Hangzhou 310016,China;China Water Resources Pearl River Planning,Surveying&Designing Co.,Ltd,Guangzhou 510610,China)

机构地区：[1]河海大学水文水资源学院,南京210098 [2]河海大学水安全与水科学协同创新中心,南京210024 [3]杭州市水文水资源监测中心,杭州310016 [4]中水珠江规划勘测设计有限公司,广州510610

出　　处：《南水北调与水利科技（中英文）》2024年第3期618-624,共7页South-to-North Water Transfers and Water Science & Technology

基　　金：国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFC3209204);广州市南沙区水务局重大科技项目(2022-263)。

摘　　要：以山丘区小流域洪水预报为研究对象,耦合改进后的美国农业部水土保持局(Soil Conservation Service,SCS)产流模型与广义单位线汇流模型,模型参数意义明确、容易确定。选取东江流域西枝江水系上游九洲水文站以上集水区域场次洪水资料,将SCS广义单位线模型与三水源新安江模型进行次洪模拟应用对比。结果表明:SCS广义单位线模型和新安江模型在研究流域场次洪水模拟中均具有适用性,洪峰、洪量及过程线均满足许可误差要求,两个模型的合格率分别为69%和77%,整体上新安江模型的模拟精度更优。新提出的SCS广义单位线模型结构简单,参数易于确定,能够提供可接受精度的模型结果,为山丘区小流域洪水预报提供新的模型选择,同时也能为广义单位线参数区域化规律研究提供支撑。The rainfall generation and confluence in small mountainous watersheds exhibit short and rapid runoff response,characterized by abrupt rises and falls during flood events.The short duration and complexity of flood processes pose challenges for flood forecasting in these regions.Moreover,some remote small mountainous watersheds lack well-equipped monitoring stations,resulting in limited hydrological data availability.These areas are considered to appertain lacking or without data regions,where traditional lumped or distributed hydrological models face limitations.Therefore,it is of great significance to conduct the research on the runoff generation and confluence model in small mountainous watersheds.The improved SCS-CN runoff model and the general unit hydrograph confluence method were coupled,and a case at the upper reaches of the Jiuzhou hydrological station in the Xizhijiang River basin,Pearl River basin,was selected for the validation of the proposed model.The three sources Xin'anjiang model was chosen as a reference model for comparison.The flood relative error(E_(vol)),peak relative error(E_(peak)),peak occurrence time error(T_(lag)),and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient(D_(c))as evaluation indicators for model performance.The applicability of the established runoff model in flood simulation in small mountainous watersheds was examined.Results showed that both models demonstrated the applicability in flood simulation in the study basin,with the Xin'anjiang model exhibiting higher accuracy than the SCS-CN general unit hydrograph model.For all 13 flood events,the Xin'anjiang model produced the average Dc was 0.79,with 10 events meeting all accuracy requirements(|E_(vol)|≤20%,|E_(peak)|≤20%,|T_(lag)|≤3h,and Dc≥0.6),achieving a pass rate of 77%.Regarding the proposed SCS-CN general unit hydrograph model,the average Dc was 0.70,with 9 events meeting all accuracy requirements,achieving a pass rate of 69%.Overall,the accuracy of the Xin'anjiang model was better than the proposed model in the study basi

关 键 词：山丘区小流域 新安江模型 SCS模型 广义单位线 洪水预报 

分 类 号：P338[天文地球—水文科学]