农业数字化对中国粮食新质生产力的影响效应研究  

Effect of agricultural digitization on new productive forces of food in China

作　　者：李盛竹[1] 薛枫 姜金贵[2] LI Shengzhu;XUE Feng;JIANG Jingui(School of Economics and Management,Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications,Chongqing 400065,China;School of Economics and Management,Harbin Engineering University,Harbin 150001,China)

机构地区：[1]重庆邮电大学经济管理学院,重庆400065 [2]哈尔滨工程大学经济管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150001

出　　处：《农林经济管理学报》2024年第4期435-445,共11页Journal of Agro-Forestry Economics and Management

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(18XJA630003)。

摘　　要：加快发展粮食新质生产力对于实现粮食有效供给、保障国家粮食安全意义重大。通过构建农业数字化和粮食新质生产力的指标体系,运用2012—2021年中国31个省份的面板数据,实证分析农业数字化对中国粮食新质生产力的影响效应。结果表明:农业数字化对粮食新质生产力具有显著正向影响,且在粮食主产区更为突出;农业数字化存在门槛效应,其对粮食新质生产力的促进作用在达到一定水平后显著增强;空间溢出效应显示,农业数字化的正向影响能够超越地区界限,促进邻近地区粮食新质生产力的发展。据此,建议通过深化农业数字化应用、激发数字化潜能、采取差异化战略和建立区域间协同机制等方式,促进粮食新质生产力的整体提升,保障国家粮食安全。Accelerating the development of the new productive forces of food is rital for ensuring effective food supply and safeguarding national food security.By establishing an indicator system for agricultural digitization and new productive forces of food,and employing panel data from 31 provinces from 2012 to 2021,this study conducts an empirical analysis of the impact of agricultural digitization on the new productive forces of food in China.The results indicate that agricultural digitization has a notable positive impact on the new productive forces of food,which is more pronounced in the major grain-producing regions.Furthermore,a threshold effect is observed in agricultural digitization,suggesting that its enhancing effect on the new productive forces of food becomes significantly stronger after a certain level is achieved.Spatial spillover effects suggest that the positive influence of agricultural digitization can transcend regional limits and foster the development of new productive forces of food in neighboring areas.In response to these findings,the comprehensive advancement of the new productive forces of food can be promoted through the deepening of agricultural digitization applications,the stimulation of digital potential,the implementation of differentiated strategies,and the establishment of regional collaborative mechanisms,thereby ensuring national food security.

关 键 词：农业数字化 新质生产力 粮食安全 溢出效应 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济]