中国粮食生产高质量发展水平的动态演进——以水稻为例  

Dynamic Evolution of the High-Quality Development of Grain Production in China--Taking Rice as an Example

作　　者：闵锐 谢雨濛 黄炜宁 胡卓辉 MIN Rui;XIE Yu-meng;HUANG Wei-ning;HU Zhuo-hui(School of Economics/Hubei Moderately Prosperous Society in All Respects Research Institute,South-Central Minzu University,Wuhan 430074,China;Business School of Central South University of Forestry and Technology,Changsha 410004,China)

机构地区：[1]中南民族大学经济学院/湖北全面小康研究院,湖北武汉430074 [2]中南林业科技大学商学院,湖南长沙410004

出　　处：《湖北科技学院学报》2024年第4期25-31,共7页Journal of Hubei University of Science and Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目(72003201、71803040);教育部人文社会科学项目青年基金(19YJC790093);中南民族大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(CSZ23007);国家社会科学基金青年项目(21CGL030);国家民委铸牢中华民族共同体意识专项课题(2023-GMG-008)。

摘　　要：在宏观经济社会发展方式由高速增长转向高质量发展的背景下,保障新粮食安全观下“谷物基本自给,口粮绝对安全”的目标,必须推动粮食生产高质量发展。为准确把握中国粮食生产高质量发展水平及其动态演进,使用23个水稻生产省份的面板数据,运用超效率SBM模型和GM指数方法从效率提高和全要素生产率两个角度考察中国粮食生产高质量发展。研究结果发现:(1)在效率提高的视角下,中国整体的粮食生产高质量发展水平偏低,仅个别省份能实现DEA有效;(2)在全要素生产率增长的视角下,中国整体的粮食生产高质量发展增长趋势并不明显,但对全要素生产率进行分解发现,技术效率和技术进步在2013年后均呈现增长趋势,且技术进步与全要素生产率增长的变动更加近似;(3)从各省全要素生产率增长趋势来看,技术效率提高是大多数省份实现全要素生产率增长的主要驱动,技术进步带来的增长有限。因此,国家层面要加大技术研发和推广支持力度,省级层面要优化经营管理模式提高要素配置和利用效率,从而持续推动中国粮食生产高质量发展。Against the background of the macroeconomic and social development mode shifting from highspeed growth to high-quality development,it is necessary to promote the high-quality development of grain production in order to guarantee the goal of“basic self-sufficiency in grains and absolute safety in food rations”under the new concept of food security.In order to accurately grasp the level of high-quality development of China’s grain production and its dynamic evolution,the panel data of 23 rice-producing provinces are used to examine the highquality development of China’s grain production from the perspectives of efficiency improvement and total factor productivity by applying the super-efficiency SBM model and the GM index method.The results of the study are as follows:(1)under the perspective of efficiency improvement,China’s overall high-quality development of grain production is on the low side,failing to realize DEA effectiveness,and only individual provinces can realize DEA effectiveness;(2)under the perspective of total factor productivity growth,the growth trend of China’s overall highquality development of grain production is not obvious,but the decomposition of total factor productivity reveals that both technological efficiency and technological advancement in the both show a growth trend after 2013,and the changes in technical progress and total factor productivity growth are more approximate;(3)from the perspective of the total factor productivity growth trend in each province,the improvement of technical efficiency is the main driver for most provinces to realize total factor productivity growth,and the growth brought by technical progress is limited.Therefore,it is necessary to increase the support for technological research and development and promotion at the national level,and optimize the business management model at the provincial level to improve the efficiency of factor allocation and utilization,so as to improve the level of high-quality development of China’s grain production.

关 键 词：粮食安全 高质量发展 全要素生产率 超效率SBM模型 分布动态演进 

分 类 号：F323.4[经济管理—产业经济]