基于黄河流域系统治理的水库多目标调度约束阈值研究  

Research on constraint thresholds for multi-objective scheduling of reservoirs based on Yellow River Basin system governance

作　　者：田世民[1,2,3] 江恩慧 王远见[1,2,3] 赵高磊 景永才[1,2,3] 李凌琪 TIAN Shimin;JIANG Enhui;WANG Yuanjian;ZHAO Gaolei;JING Yongcai;LI Lingqi(Yellow River Institute of Hydraulic Research,Zhengzhou 450003,China;Henan Key Laboratory of YRB Ecological Protection and Restoration,Zhengzhou 450003,China;Henan Engineering Research Center of Yellow River Ecological Environment,Zhengzhou 450003,China)

机构地区：[1]黄河水利科学研究院,河南郑州450003 [2]河南省黄河流域生态环境保护与修复重点实验室,河南郑州450003 [3]河南省黄河水生态环境工程技术研究中心,河南郑州450003

出　　处：《水利学报》2024年第6期631-642,665,共13页Journal of Hydraulic Engineering

基　　金：黄河水科学研究联合基金项目(U2243214);国家自然科学基金项目(52309092);黄河水利科学研究院科技发展基金项目(202310);国家重点研发计划项目(2021YFC3200402)。

摘　　要：水库是流域水沙调控以及水资源优化配置的重要抓手,黄河流域的水库调度最初以防洪减淤为目标。新形势下,黄河流域面临不断变化的来水来沙条件、库区-河道边界约束、区域社会经济发展和生态环境需求等,黄河流域亟需基于系统治理理念,突出流域系统可持续运行的水库多目标协同调度。本文依据流域系统科学理论和方法,通过资料分析、数据挖掘、关联度识别、回归分析等方法,筛选了黄河流域系统中行洪输沙、社会经济、生态环境各子系统表征指标,阐明了黄河上、中、下游不同河段多维约束因子的演变过程,揭示了黄河干流调控体系主要约束因子的相互作用关系,提出了基于多目标协同的黄河干流水库调度约束因子阈值,为黄河流域水库多目标协同调度提供科技支撑。Reservoirs are important for regulating water and sediment and optimizing water resource allocation in the Yellow River Basin(YRB).Initially,reservoir regulation in the YRB was aimed at flood control and sedimentation reduction.Under the new situation,the YRB faces constantly changing conditions for incoming water and sediment,constraints from the reservoir to the river boundary,regional socio-economic development,and ecological environment needs.The YRB urgently needs to highlight the multi-objective scheduling of reservoirs from a systemic perspective.Based on the theory and methods of systems science,this article uses techniques such as data analysis,data mining,correlation identification,and regression analysis to screen the characterization indicators of flood and sediment transport,ecological environment,and socio-economic subsystems in the YRB system.It elucidates the evolution process of multi-dimensional constraint factors in different sections of the Yellow River’s upper,middle,and lower reaches.It reveals the interaction relationship between the main constraint factors in the regulation system of the Yellow River mainstream.A multi-objective collaborative constraint factor threshold for the operation of reservoirs in the mainstream of the Yellow River has been proposed,providing support for the multi-objective dynamic process of pools in the YRB.

关 键 词：水库调度 多维约束 多目标协同 流域系统 

分 类 号：TV697[水利工程—水利水电工程]