猪肉收储政策对我国生猪市场价格波动的影响  

Influence of pork storage policy on price fluctuation of pig market in China

作　　者：许正平[1] XU Zheng-ping

机构地区：[1]漳州职业技术学院经济管理学院,福建漳州363000

出　　处：《饲料研究》2024年第11期180-183,共4页Feed Research

基　　金：2024年度福建省社会科学基金重点项目“数字赋能小农户对接大市场的机制与路径研究(项目编号:FJ2024A022)”。

摘　　要：猪肉收储政策作为民生商品储备体系的重要组成部分,是做好生猪和猪肉市场保供稳价工作的重要政策工具,对缓解我国生猪市场价格波动具有重要意义。文章基于我国2007—2022年30个省份数据,构建双重差分模型评估自2009年颁布《防止生猪价格过度下跌调控预案(暂行)》及之后一系列猪肉收储政策对我国生猪市场价格波动的影响。结果表明,在控制其他因素后,猪肉收储政策对我国生猪市场价格波动具有显著抑制作用,其作用程度约为0.041;猪肉收储政策对我国生猪市场价格波动的影响具有明显区域异质性,在东部地区该政策效果最强。文章主要考察了猪肉收储政策对生猪市场价格波动的影响,以期为合理控制生猪市场价格提供参考。As an important part of people's livelihood commodity reserve system,pork storage policy is an important policy tool to ensure the supply and price stability of live pigs and pork market,which is of great significance to alleviate the price fluctuation of live pig market in China.Based on the data of 30 provinces in China from 2007 to 2022,this paper constructs a double difference model to evaluate the impact of the Regulation Plan for Preventing Excessive Decline of Live Pig Prices(Provisional)promulgated in 2009 and a series of pork purchasing and storage policies on the price fluctuation of live pig market in China.The results show that after controlling for other factors,pork storage policy has a significant inhibitory effect on the price fluctuation of live pig market in China,and its effect is about 0.041.The effect of pork storage policy on the price fluctuation of live pig market in China has obvious regional heterogeneity,and the policy has the strongest effect in the eastern region.This paper mainly investigates the influence of pork storage policy on the price fluctuation of live pig market,in order to provide reference for reasonable control of live pig market price.

关 键 词：生猪市场价格波动 猪肉收储政策 高质量发展 双重差分法 

分 类 号：S8-9[农业科学—畜牧兽医]