中国高水平乒乓球男运动员“前四板”技战术制胜因素研究——基于多因素二元logistic回归  

Study on Technical-Tactical Winning Factors of"the First Four Strokes"in Chinese Elite Table Tennis Male Players--Based on Multivariate Binary Logistic Regression

作　　者：周昕怡 曹犇[2] 李蕴炜 Zhou Xinyi;Cao Ben;Li Yunwei(PE Department of Xi'an Aeronautical Institute,Xi'an Shaanxi 710077)

机构地区：[1]西安航空学院体育部,陕西西安710077 [2]陕西师范大学体育学院,陕西西安710119

出　　处：《安徽体育科技》2024年第3期42-49,共8页Journal of Anhui Sports Science

基　　金：2022年陕西省体育局常规立项课题:智慧校园背景下高校公共乒乓球课的“翻转课堂式”教学模式应用探究,课题编号:2022498。

摘　　要：目的:探究我国优秀乒乓球男运动员前4板技战术制胜因素。方法:观察26场重大比赛,依据发抢段、接抢段采集数据。技战术指标为自变量,是否得分为因变量,建立多因素二元logistic回归模型。结果:发抢段中,发半出台效果较差(p<0.001),第3板使用冲或拍、变正手效果较好。接抢段中,接发球使用搓、变中间效果较差(p<0.01;p<0.05),第4板进攻类技术和变正手效果较好。结论:发球落点与其余3板的技术和是否变线是技战术制胜的关键因素。Purpose:Purpose:This study is to investigate technical-tactical winning factors of the first four shots in Chinese elite table tennis male players.Method:26 important matches were observed while data were collected according to serve-and-attack phase(SAAP)and receive-and-attack phase(RAAP).Technical-tactical indices were set as independent variables and the rally result was set as dependent variable.Multivariate binary logistic regression models were constructed.Result:In SAAP,serving a half-long ball was worse(p<0.001);using smash,changing line to forehand were more effective in the third stroke.In RAAP,receiving with push,changing line to middle had lower winning chance(p<0.01;p<0.05);attacking techniques and changing line to forehand were more productive in the fourth shot.Conclusion:ball placement of serve,stroke type and line-changing or non-line-changing of the other 3 strokes are the technical-tactical winning factors.

关 键 词：高水平男运动员 乒乓球 前四板 技战术 二元LOGISTIC回归 

分 类 号：G846[文化科学—体育训练]