气候变化提高了居民电力消费——基于适应性行为的视角  

Climate Change Has Increased Household Electricity Consumption--An Adaptive Behavioral Perspective

作　　者：李捷瑜[1] 何坤 LI Jieyu;HE Kun(Sun Yat-sen University)

机构地区：[1]中山大学岭南学院,广东省广州市510275

出　　处：《经济学（季刊）》2024年第3期878-896,共19页China Economic Quarterly

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究“适应气候变化领域的中国科技创新战略研究”项目(21YJA790030);国家社科基金重大项目(21ZDA036)的资助。

摘　　要：本文使用2011—2020年244个城市的面板数据,构造温度偏离度指标,从空调适应性行为视角评估了气候变化对居民电力消费的影响。研究发现,温度上偏将推高居民电力消费,居民购买和使用空调对此贡献约58.7%—78.7%。异质性分析表明,极端温度、相对湿度和收入水平均会强化居民电力消费、空调购买对温度上偏的响应,令空调能耗降低的技术进步只能在一定程度上减缓空调使用时长对居民电力消费的正向影响。Using the panel data of 244 cities from 201l to 2020,we construct temperature deviation indicators,and evaluate the effects of climate change on electricity consumption from an adaptive behavioral perspective.We find cooling degree days(CDD)pushes up electricity consumption,among which the purchase and use of air conditioners contribute about 58.7%-78.7%.Heterogeneity analysis shows extreme temperature,humidity and income strengthen the response of electricity consumption and air conditioners purchase to CDD.Technological advancements that reduce air conditioning energy consumption can only partially alleviate the positive impact of air conditioning usage duration on household electricity consumption.

关 键 词：气候变化 能源消费 适应性行为 

分 类 号：F426.61[经济管理—产业经济] P467[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]