绿色金融对城镇化高质量发展的影响研究——基于产业结构升级的中介效应  

Research on the impact of green financing on the high-quality development of urbanization——based on the intermediary effect of industrial structure upgrading

作　　者：郑耀群[1] 王萌 冯佳 ZHENG YAOQUN;WANG MENG;FENG JIA(Department of Social Science School of Economics and Management Xidian University,Xi’an Shaanxi 710071,China)

机构地区：[1]西安电子科技大学经济与管理学院,陕西西安710071

出　　处：《西安电子科技大学学报（社会科学版）》2024年第2期18-32,共15页Journal of Xidian University：Social Science Edition

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“新发展理念下城镇化高质量发展的评价体系与实现路径研究”(20XJL007);陕西省软科学项目“陕西省城乡融合发展的路径与对策研究”(2023-CX-RK138)。

摘　　要：绿色金融是促进城镇化绿色低碳发展的重要路径。基于2005-2020年中国30个省(区、市)的面板数据,测度了绿色金融及城镇化高质量发展指数,建立面板误差修正模型和中介效应模型实证分析绿色金融对城镇化高质量发展的影响效应以及产业结构升级在其中发挥的中介效应。研究发现:(1)从影响机制来看,我国绿色金融对城镇化高质量发展具有显著促进作用,且对外开放水平、政府干预程度及信息化水平也可以促进城镇化高质量发展。(2)从影响路径来看,我国绿色金融能够通过促进产业结构升级,间接地促进城镇化高质量发展。(3)异质性分析表明,从资源型地区与非资源型地区的分类角度,绿色金融对城镇化高质量发展的促进作用与区域资源水平成反向关系,产业结构升级在非资源型地区所起到的中介效应高于其在资源型地区所起到的中介作用;从东、中、西、东北四大板块分类角度,东部地区绿色金融促进城镇化高质量发展效果最明显,产业结构的中介效应也在东部地区最显著,而在东北不显著。据此提出了发展绿色金融促进城镇化高质量发展的对策建议。Green financing is an important path to promote green and low-carbon development of urbanization.Based on the panel data from provinces,autonomous regions and municipality directly under the Central Government at the total of 30 in China’s mainland from 2005 to 2020,this paper measures the index of green financing and high-quality development of urbanization,establishes the panel error correction model and the intermediary effect model to empirically analyze the direct effect of green financing on the high-quality development of urbanization and the intermediary effect played by the industrial structure upgrading.The relevant findings of this paper are as follows:Firstly,from the perspective of the impact mechanism,China's green finance has a significant role in promoting the high-quality development of urbanization,and the level of openness,government intervention and information can also promote the high-quality development of urbanization.Secondly,from the perspective of impact paths,China's green financing can evidently promote the high-quality development of urbanization.The level of opening-up,the degree of the government’s intervention and the state of informationalization can facilitate the high-quality development of urbanization.(2)From the perspective of the impact paths,China's green financing can indirectly boost the high-quality development of urbanization by fostering the industrial structure upgrading.(3)Heterogeneity analysis shows that,from the perspective of classification of resource-based regions and non-resource-based regions,the promotion effect of green financing on the high-quality development of urbanization is inversely related to the level of regional resources,and the intermediary effect of the industrial structure upgrading in the non-resource-based regions is higher than that of the intermediary effect;from the perspective of classification of the four major regions of the East,Middle East,West,and Northeast,the effect of green financing on enhancing the high-quality development

关 键 词：绿色金融 城镇化高质量发展 产业结构升级 中介效应 区域差异 

分 类 号：F292[经济管理—国民经济]