中国开放型经济时空格局演化与影响因素  

Evolution and influencing factors of the spatio-temporal pattern of China's open economy

作　　者：李快满 李泳[1] LI Kuai-man;LI Yong(School of Business,China University of Political Science and Law,Beijing 100088,China;School of Economics,Gansu University of Political Science and Law,Lanzhou 730070,Gansu,China)

机构地区：[1]中国政法大学商学院,北京100088 [2]甘肃政法大学经济学院,甘肃兰州730070

出　　处：《西北师范大学学报（自然科学版）》2024年第4期67-77,共11页Journal of Northwest Normal University(Natural Science)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金西部项目(22XJL009);甘肃高校教师创新基金项目(2024A-105);甘肃政法大学校级重点项目(GZF2021XZD03)。

摘　　要：开放型经济时空格局的研究有利于制定不同类型省份开放型经济发展路径,促进区域间的协调发展.从贸易开放、投资开放和战略耦合3个维度构建开放型经济评价体系,分别采用熵权TOPSIS法、探索性时空数据分析、动态空间面板模型对2001—2021年中国省域开放型经济发展水平、时空格局演化以及影响因素进行分析.结果表明:中国开放型经济发展整体水平提升,但不同地区省份的变化迥异.“东高中西低”的梯度格局被打破,东西协同的“T字型”架构初步建立并稳步提升.开放型经济空间异质性逐渐弱化,空间自相关性更加显著.LISA时间路径相对长度在空间上呈现由沿海沿边向内陆地区递减趋势,LISA时间路径弯曲度呈现从沿边地区到其邻接省份再到沿海和内陆地区依次递减趋势.制度环境、自然资源禀赋、国家优惠政策、基础设施水平、邻接省份效应等因素驱动了开放型经济发展.The study of the spatial and temporal patterns of the open economy is conducive to the formulation of open economy development paths in different types of provinces and the promotion of coordinated interregional development.An open economy evaluation system is constructed from three dimensions,namely trade openness,investment openness and strategic coupling,and entropyweighted TOPSIS method,exploratory spatio-temporal data analysis,and dynamic spatial panel model are used respectively to analyse the level of China's open economy development,the evolution of spatio-temporal pattern,and the influencing factors from 2001 to 2021.The results show that the overall level of China's open economy development has increased,but the changes are very different for different regional provinces.The gradient pattern of“high in the east,low in the central and western”has been broken,and the“T-shaped”structure of east-west synergy has been initially established and steadily upgraded.the spatial heterogeneity of the open economy has gradually weakened,and spatial autocorrelation has become more pronounced.the relative length of the LISA time path shows a spatial trend of decreasing from the coastal border to the inland area,the camber of the LISA time path shows a trend of decreasing from the coastal area to the neighbouring provinces and then to the coastal and inland areas.Factors such as the institutional environment,natural resource endowment,national preferential policies,the level of infrastructure,and the effect of neighbouring provinces have driven the development of the open economy.

关 键 词：开放型经济 格局 影响因素 探索性时空数据分析 动态空间面板模型 

分 类 号：F752.0[经济管理—国际贸易]