2024年6月中国需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估  

Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in China,June 2024

作　　者：陆步来[1] 秦颖[2] 刘凤凤[2] 黄晓霞[3] 张倩[4] 牟笛[2] 王霄晔 袁媛[5] 施国庆[1] 涂文校[1] 向妮娟[1] Lu Bulai;Qin Ying;Liu Fengfeng;Huang Xiaoxia;Zhang Qian;Mu Di;Wang Xiaoye;Yuan Yuan;Shi Guoqing;Tu Wenxiao;Xiang Nijuan(National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases,Public Health Emergency Center,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 102206,China;National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases,Division of Infectious Disease,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 102206,China;National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases,National Institute for Viral Disease Control and Prevention,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 102206,China;National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases,National Immunization Program,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 100050,China;National Institute of Occupational Health and Poison Control,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 100050,China)

机构地区：[1]中国疾病预防控制中心应急中心,传染病溯源预警与智能决策全国重点实验室,北京102206 [2]中国疾病预防控制中心传染病处,传染病溯源预警与智能决策全国重点实验室,北京102206 [3]中国疾病预防控制中心病毒病预防控制所,传染病溯源预警与智能决策全国重点实验室,北京102206 [4]中国疾病预防控制中心免疫规划中心,传染病溯源预警与智能决策全国重点实验室,北京100050 [5]中国疾病预防控制中心职业卫生与中毒控制所,北京100050

出　　处：《疾病监测》2024年第6期673-676,共4页Disease Surveillance

摘　　要：目的评估2024年6月在我国(不含香港、澳门特别行政区和台湾省,下同)发生或者可能由境外输入的突发公共卫生事件风险。方法根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(自治区、直辖市)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。结果近期境内新型冠状病毒感染疫情将处于较低水平,手足口病发病水平会继续上升,发热伴血小板减少综合征仍将处于发病高峰期,百日咳继续在较高水平传播,登革热发生本地疫情风险增高,食物中毒事件进入高发期,误采、误食毒蘑菇造成中毒事件的风险增高。结论对新型冠状病毒感染、手足口病、发热伴血小板减少综合征、百日咳、登革热、食物中毒、毒蘑菇中毒予以关注。Objective To assess the risk of public health emergencies that may occur or be imported from abroad in China(except Hong Kong and Macao Special Administrative Regions and Taiwan province,the same below)in June 2024.Methods Based on various data and departmental notification information on domestic and foreign public health emergencies reports and surveillance of key infectious diseases,the expert consultation method was used and experts from provincial(autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the central government)centers for disease control and prevention were invited to participate in the assessment by video conference.Results It is predicted that the incidence of public health emergencies in June 2024 would be at the same level as that in May 2024.The main public health emergencies would be infectious diseases.Recently,the domestic transmission of coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)will be at a low level.The incidence of hand,foot and mouth disease(HFMD)will continue to rise.Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome(SFTS)will still be at the peak of incidence.Pertussis continues to spread at a relatively high level.The risk of dengue fever local epidemic will increase.Food poisoning events will enter a peak period,and the risk of poisoning events caused by the accidental ingestion and eating of toxic mushrooms will increase.Conclusion Attention should be paid to COVID-19,HFMD,SFTS,pertussis,dengue fever,food poisoning events.

关 键 词：突发公共卫生事件 传染病疫情 风险评估 

分 类 号：R211[医药卫生—中医学] R51