人口出生率和人口死亡率的时空演化分析  

Analysis of spatiotemporal evolution of populalion birth rate and mortality

作　　者：张梦杰 Zhang Mengjie(South-Central Minzu University,Wuhan,Hubei,430074)

机构地区：[1]中南民族大学,湖北武汉430074

出　　处：《市场周刊》2024年第19期5-8,28,共5页Market Weekly

摘　　要：2022年我国的人口死亡率超过人口出生率,人口自然增长率为负,意味着我国开始进入人口负增长时期。为了深入探究我国人口自然增长率大幅下降的原因,文章运用近二十年的数据分析了我国区域经济发展,人口死亡率和人口出生率的变化情况以及他们之间的因果关系,并研究了不同省份之间在人口死亡率和人口出生率上存在的空间相关性,对深入理解人口自然增长率下降的本质和规律,预见和缓解人口下降带来的问题具有深刻的意义。In 2022,China's population mortality exceeded the birth rate,and the natural population growth rate was negative,indicating that China has entered a period of negative population growth.In order to deeply explore the reasons for the significant decline in China's natural population growth rate,data from the past two decades were used to analyze the regional economic development,changes in population mortality and birth rate,as well as the causal relationship between them.The spatial correlation between population mortality and birth rate among different provinces was also studied,which has profound significance for understanding the essence and law of the decline in population natural growth rate,predicting and alleviating the problems caused by population decline.

关 键 词：地区经济发展 人口出生率 人口死亡率 

分 类 号：C921[社会学—人口学]