引江济淮沿线地区“生产-生活-生态”空间演化与模拟  

Evolution and Simulation of Production-Living-Ecological Space Transition Along the Yangtze-to-Huaihe Water Diversion Project

作　　者：包善驹 支俊俊 龙兆云[2] 陆林 BAO Shanju;ZHI Junjun;LONG Zhaoyun;LU Lin(College of Geography and Tourism,Anhui Normal University,Wuhu 241000,China;Anhui Urban and Rural Planning and Design Institute Co,Hefei 230009,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽师范大学地理与旅游学院,安徽芜湖241000 [2]安徽省城乡规划设计研究院有限公司,安徽合肥230009

出　　处：《安徽建筑大学学报》2024年第3期27-34,共8页Journal of Anhui Jianzhu University

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(42371249、41930644、42271060);安徽省社科创新发展研究课题(2022CX188);安徽省高等学校科学研究项目(2022AH050128)。

摘　　要：促进跨区域重大基础设施建设与国土空间保护开发格局的协同是现阶段国土空间治理的重要研究方向。以引江济淮安徽段沿线地区为研究对象,采用历年土地利用遥感数据分析该地区“生产-生活-生态”空间(“三生”空间)演化过程和特征,综合研判上、中、下游“三生”空间的功能定位,并运用土地利用模拟技术对沿线地区土地利用进行降尺度分段模拟。结果表明:过去30年的快速城镇化时期,引江济淮安徽段沿线地区“三生”空间演化剧烈,演化趋势不合理;模拟至2030年,该地区“三生”空间整体数量结构稳定,比例结构未发生明显变化,下游生产空间比例、中游生活空间比例和上游生态空间比例增长明显。The synergy of cross-regional major infrastructure construction and the pattern of land space protection and development is an important part in land space governance.This article took the area along the Yangtze-to-Huaihe water diversion project(YHWP)in Anhui province as the research object,using historical land use remote sensing data to study the evolution process and characteristics of the production-living-ecological(PLE)space and the functional positioning of the PLE space in the upstream,middle,and downstream areas.By applying land use simulation technology,the land use in the study area was simulated at a downscaled level.The results showed that during the 30-year rapid urbanization period,the evolution of the PLE space was dramatic and the trend was unreasonable.However,by 2030,the overall spatial structure of the PLE space would be stable in terms of quantity,and the ratio structure was basically unchanged,with the proportion of downstream production space,midstream living space and upstream ecological space increased significantly.

关 键 词：引江济淮“ 生产-生活-生态”空间 演化 土地利用模拟 

分 类 号：F062.1[经济管理—政治经济学] F062.2