政府搬迁对迁入地房价影响分析——以北京市政府搬迁为例  

Analysis of the Impact of Government Relocation on HousingPrices in the Moved-in Districts——A Case Study of the Beijing Municipal Government'sRelocation

作　　者：邱子康 王多民 于海波 周森林 雍娟茹 郝凯 QIU Zikang;WANG Duomin;YU Haibo;ZHOU Senlin;YONG Juanru;HAO Kai(School of Economics and Management,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190;Agricultural Bank of China,Beijing 100005;Guangdong Provincial Institute of Urban and Rural Planning and Design Science and Technology Group Co.,Ltd,Guangzhou 510290;Shaanxi University of Technology,Hanzhong 723001;Bureau of Natural Resources of Hancheng City,Shaanxi,Hancheng 715499)

机构地区：[1]中国科学院大学经济与管理学院,北京100190 [2]中国农业银行,北京100005 [3]广东省城乡规划设计研究院科技集团股份有限公司,广州510290 [4]陕西理工大学,汉中723001 [5]陕西省韩城市自然资源局,韩城715499

出　　处：《科技促进发展》2024年第4期333-345,共13页Science & Technology for Development

摘　　要：政府搬迁作为缓解“城市病”的常用政策,通过行政中心的迁移能改善资源配置格局,促进地区经济健康发展。本研究利用2016~2020年北京二手房交易数据,以时空结合的视角,在更小地理尺度上构造DID双重差分模型,分析北京市政府搬迁对迁入地房价的影响。研究结果表明:搬迁给迁入区住宅带来了涨幅约为2.9%的溢价效应,该效应也存在显著的时空异质性。此外,政府搬迁具有经济增长效应和公共资源再配置效应,且价值较低的住宅获益更显著。本研究在丰富房价影响机制的研究视角的同时,也为政府规划审核政府搬迁政策提供了理论参考,帮助其在地区经济发展过程中扮演好的“管理者”和“引导者”的角色。Government relocation has become a common policy in recent years to alleviate"urban diseases",as it canimprove the allocation of resources and promote regional economic development by relocating administrative centers.Thisstudy utilized second-hand housing transaction data from 2016 to 2020 in Beijing.Adopting a spatiotemporal approach andconstructing a DID model at a smaller geographical scale,it analyzed the impact of the Beijing municipal government'srelocation on housing prices in the recipient areas.The research findings indicated that the relocation has brought about apremium effect of approximately 2.9%on residential properties in the recipient areas,with significant spatiotemporalheterogeneity.Moreover,government relocation demonstrated economic agglomeration effects and public resourcereallocation effects,with lower-value residential properties benefiting more significantly.This study enriched theunderstanding of the mechanisms influencing housing prices and provided theoretical insights for government planning andreviewing relocation policies,aiding them in effectively managing and guiding regional economic development.

关 键 词：城市搬迁 房价 DID模型 特征价格模型 

分 类 号：F299.23[经济管理—国民经济] D630[政治法律—政治学]