基于比较研究的华中三省产业结构与低碳经济的关系分析  

Analysis of the Relationship between Industrial Structure and Low Carbon Economy in Three Provinces in Central China Based on Comparative Study

作　　者：郭文强[1] 于忠萍 雷明 GUO Wenqiang;YU Zhongping;LEI Ming(College of Information Management,Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics,Urumqi Xinjiang 830012,China;Rural Revitalization Research Institute,Peking University,Beijing 100871,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆财经大学信息管理学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830012 [2]北京大学乡村振兴研究院,北京100871

出　　处：《生态经济》2024年第8期62-70,共9页Ecological Economy

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目“复杂网络视角下新疆区域系统性金融风险传染机制及其监管研究”(20BJY239);国家社会科学基金西部项目“边疆民族地区规模性返贫的防范与治理机制研究”(23XMZ060);新疆社会科学基金一般项目“新疆脱贫攻坚与乡村振兴衔接模式及实现路径”(21GBL098);新疆财经大学研究生科研创新项目“基于Tapio模型的我国碳排放因素分解及脱钩效应研究”(XJUFE2024K041)。

摘　　要：为了促进中部地区的崛起,实现经济低碳化发展与产业优化转型,研究产业结构与低碳经济之间的相互关系具有重要意义。论文以河南、湖北和湖南三省为研究对象,运用熵值-Topsis法对2007—2022年三省的产业结构与低碳经济指标进行综合测评,并基于脱钩理论与协同学理论,运用Tapio脱钩模型和复合系统协同度模型对2008—2022年三省各自的脱钩状态与协同效应演化进行科学分析。结果表明:(1)研究期内,华中三省的产业结构综合指数和低碳经济综合指数不断提高,整体发展趋势良好。(2)大多数年份三省都处于相对脱钩状态,产业结构综合指数增长速度低于低碳经济综合指数增长速度;湖北率先达到理想的扩张负脱钩状态,湖南次之。(3)2008—2022年三省的协同效应一直较弱,且都具有一定的波动性特征;整体来看,湖北的协同水平略高于河南和湖南。In order to promote the rise of the central region and achieve low-carbon economic development and industrial optimization and transformation,it is important to study the interrelationship between industrial structure and low-carbon economy.The article takes Henan,Hubei and Hunan provinces as the research objects,and uses the entropy-Topsis method to comprehensively measure the industrial structure and low carbon economic indicators of the three provinces between 2007 and 2022,and uses the Tapio decoupling model and the composite system collaborative degree model to scientifically analyse the decoupling state and the evolution of the synergy effect of each of the three provinces between 2008 and 2022 based on the decoupling theory and the synergy theory.The results show that:(1)The industrial structure composite index and low carbon economy composite index of the three provinces in Central China have been improving during the study period,and the overall development trend is good.(2)In most years,the three provinces are in a relatively decoupled state,and the growth rate of the composite index of industrial structure is lower than that of the composite index of low carbon economy;Hubei is thefirst to reach the ideal state of negative decoupling of expansion,followed by Hunan.(3)The synergy effect of the three provinces has been weak from 2008 to 2022,and all have certain volatility characteristics;overall,Hubei’s synergy level is slightly higher than Henan and Hunan.

关 键 词：产业结构 低碳经济 熵值-Topsis法 Tapio脱钩模型 复合系统协同度模型 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学] F062.9