2020—2023年北京市手足口病空间分布特征研究  

Spatial distribution characteristics of hand,foot,and mouth disease in Beijing from 2020 to 2023

作　　者：陈艳伟[1] 董帅兵 赵好 冯家鑫 王超[2] 高志勇[1] 贾蕾[1] 张代涛[1] 王全意[1] 霍达[1] Chen Yanwei;Dong Shuaibing;Zhao Hao;Feng Jiaxin;Wang Chao;Gao Zhiyong;Jia Lei;Zhang Daitao;Wang Quanyi;Huo Da(Institute for Infectious Disease and Endemic Disease Control,Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control,Beijing 100013,China;Department of information and Statistics,Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control,Beijing 100013,China)

机构地区：[1]北京市疾病预防控制中心传染病地方病控制所,100013 [2]北京市疾病预防控制中心信息统计中心,100013

出　　处：《国际病毒学杂志》2024年第3期187-191,共5页International Journal of Virology

基　　金：新一代人工智能国家科技重大专项(2021ZD0114103);高层次公共卫生技术人才建设项目培养计划(学科骨干-02-17)。

摘　　要：目的探索2020—2023年北京市手足口病空间分布特征,为开展区域性手足口病防控提供参考。方法收集和整理全民健康信息化疾病预防控制系统中手足口病病例信息,分析各年累计月均发病率分布情况,通过空间自相关分析和热点分析方法探索病例的空间聚集分布模式。结果2020—2023年,北京市累计报告手足口病病例40371例,2023年发病率最高(135.92/10万),7~11月为发病高峰。发病率在乡镇街道水平呈现空间聚集特征,2020年和2021年的热点区域呈多块散在分布,2022年和2023年逐渐呈集中分布。结论2020—2022年北京市手足口病的空间聚集性较低,2023年空间聚集性增强、热点区域更为集中。应加强手足口病流行热点区域的防控,同时需要防范低流行区域出现空间聚集反弹。Objective To investigate the spatial distribution characteristics of hand,foot,and mouth disease(HFMD)in Beijing from 2020 to 2023,so as to provide insights for regional prevention and control strategies of HFMD.Methods The information of HFMD case was collected from Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System.The cumulative monthly average incidence of each year was analyzed.Spatial auto-correlation analysis and Getis-Ord Gi*analysis were conducted to identify the spatial clustering patterns and distribution trends of HFMD.Results From 2020 to 2023,a total of 40371 HFMD cases were reported in Beijing.The highest incidence occurred in 2023(135.92/100000).The incidence peaks were typically observed between July and November.The spatial clustering patterns at township and community levels were observed.The hotspots distributed as scattered blocks in 2020 and 2021 and centralized gradually in 2022 and 2023.Conclusions HFMD in Beijing showed low spatial clustering from 2020 to 2022,higher spatial clustering and centralized hotspots in 2023.Enhanced countermeasures should be implemented in regions of hotspots while areas with lower incidence should remain well prepared for potential resurgences of HFMD.

关 键 词：手足口病 空间自相关 热点分析 空间流行病学 

分 类 号：R725.1[医药卫生—儿科] R181.3[医药卫生—临床医学]