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作 者:金玲 Jin Ling
机构地区:[1]中国国际问题研究院欧洲所
出 处:《现代国际关系》2024年第7期95-111,136,共18页
摘 要:2024年欧洲议会选举是欧盟在多重危机背景下民众的又一次政治选择。选举中呈现的成员国政治格局分化、极端右翼力量上升以及绿色政治遭遇的反噬,映射的是民众的失望和恐惧情绪,是欧盟经济、政治、社会和安全危机的症候性特征。欧洲议会选举后,随着欧盟政治生态的右转、极端政党的日益“主流化”以及法德领导力的削弱,欧洲政治中长期构建的针对极端右翼力量的“防火墙”效应将日渐弱化,欧盟内部的力量平衡也随之改变,政治图景面临重构,这也深刻影响其内外政策走向。未来,为应对内部的保守和保护情绪,欧盟地缘政治转型进程势必加速,欧洲一体化模式的影响力也势必进一步下降,从而加剧其作为规范性力量的身份悖论。The 2024 European Parliament election is another political choice for the people of the European Union in the context of multiple crises.The political polarization of member states,the rise of extreme right-wing forces,and the backlash of green politics presented in the elections reflect the disappointment and fear of the people,and are symptomatic features of the EU's economic,political,social,and security crisis.After the European Parliament elections,with the rightward shift of the EU political ecosystem,the"mainstreaming"of extreme political parties,and the weakening of French and German leadership,the "cordon sanitaire"effect against extreme right-wing forces that has been built in European politics for a long time will gradually weaken,and the balance of power within the EU will also change.The political landscape is facing reconstruction,which also profoundly affects the direction of its internal and external policies.In the future,in response to internal conservatism and protectionism,the geopolitical transformation process of the European Union is bound to accelerate,and the influence of the European integration model will further decline,thereby exacerbating its identityparadoxas a normative power.
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