长江经济带城市生态财富与产业结构变迁的空间关联及互动效应  

Spatial Correlation and Interaction Effects between Urban Ecological Wealth and Industrial Structure Changes in the Yangtze River Economic Belt

作　　者：张明斗 周川 ZHANG Mingdou;ZHOU Chuan(School of Economics,Dongbei University of Finance and Economics,Dalian 116025,Liaoning,China;Institute for Northeast Full Revitalization,Dongbei University of Finance and Economics,Dalian 116025,Liaoning,China)

机构地区：[1]东北财经大学经济学院,辽宁大连116025 [2]东北财经大学东北全面振兴研究院,辽宁大连116025

出　　处：《经济地理》2024年第6期82-92,共11页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年项目(71804021);辽宁省教育厅面上项目(LJKMR20221600);辽宁省经济社会发展研究项目(2024lslybkt-012);辽宁省研究生教育教学改革研究项目(LNYJG2023307)。

摘　　要：文章以长江经济带110个地级及以上城市为研究样本,采用双变量空间自相关模型和面板向量自回归模型,实证分析了2012—2021年其生态财富与产业结构变迁的空间关联特征及互动效应。结果表明:(1)10年间长江经济带城市生态财富波动增长,年均增长率为2.12%,且呈现出“西高东低”的空间分布格局;城市产业结构高级化、合理化水平整体呈上升趋势,均表现出“下游地区>中游地区>上游地区”的分布特征。(2)长江经济带城市生态财富与产业结构变迁存在显著的空间依赖与关联特征,且上游地区空间集聚特征在减弱,中下游地区持续增强。(3)长江经济带城市生态财富与产业结构高级化互为Granger因果关系,产业结构合理化是城市生态财富的单向Granger原因;城市生态财富与产业结构高级化之间及生态财富对产业结构合理化的脉冲响应曲线均呈现倒“U”形特征,且长期而言表现为正向波动响应。方差分解结果显示,城市生态财富主要受自身影响,但产业结构变迁对其仍具有一定程度的影响能力。Taking 110 cities at the prefecture level and above located in the Yangtze River Economic Belt as the research sample,this paper empirically analyzes the spatial correlation characteristics and interaction effects of urban ecological wealth and industrial structure changes from 2012 to 2021 using the bivariate spatial autocorrelation model and the panel vector autoregression model.The results show that:1)The urban ecological wealth in the Yangtze River Economic Belt showed a fluctuating growth trend from 2012 to 2021,with an average annual growth rate of 2.12%,and showed a spatial distribution pattern of"high in the west of China and low in the east of China".The advancement and rationalization levels of urban industrial structure showed an overall upward trend,and both showed the uneven distribution characteristics which it was higher in the lower reaches of the Yangtze River Economic Belt than that in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River Economic Belt,followed by the upper reaches of the Yangtze River Economic Belt.2)There is significant spatial dependence and correlation characteristics of urban ecological wealth and industrial structure changes in the Yangtze River Economic Belt,and the spatial agglomeration characteristics are weakening in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River Economic Belt,and the spatial agglomeration characteristics continue to increase in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River Economic Belt.3)The urban ecological wealth and the industrial structure advancement in the Yangtze River Economic Belt are mutually Granger causal relationship,and the industrial structure rationalization is the one-way Granger cause of urban ecological wealth.The impulse response curves between urban ecological wealth and industrial structure advancement,urban ecological wealth and industrial structure rationalization all showed inverted U-shaped characteristics.In the long run,it shows a positive fluctuation response.The results of variance decomposition show that the urban ecological wealth is ma

关 键 词：城市生态财富 产业结构变迁 空间关联 互动效应 绿色低碳发展 长江经济带 

分 类 号：F129.9[经济管理—世界经济] K928.5[历史地理—人文地理学]