2021年潍坊市常住居民死亡原因及主要慢性病早死概率分析  

Analysis of the causes of death and probability of early death from major chronic diseases among permanent residents in Weifang City in 2021

作　　者：陈敏 孟显峰[1] 李宁[1] 郭明波 王园园[1] 单杰[1] CHEN Min;MENG Xianfeng;LI Ning;GUO Mingbo;WANG Yuanyuan;SHAN Jie(Chronic Non-communicable Disease Prevention and Control Department of Weifang Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Weifang,Shandong 261061,China;Joint Surgery Department of Sunshine Harmony Hospital,Weifang,Shandong 26106l,China)

机构地区：[1]潍坊市疾病预防控制中心慢性非传染性疾病防制科,山东潍坊261061 [2]阳光融和医院关节外科,山东潍坊261061

出　　处：《社区医学杂志》2024年第11期363-367,共5页Journal Of Community Medicine

基　　金：潍坊市卫健委立项课题(WFWSJK-2022-272);2023年山东省公共卫生体系建设研究课题(GWY202316);潍坊市软科学研究计划(2021RKX084)。

摘　　要：目的通过分析2021年潍坊市常住居民死亡原因及主要慢性早死概率,为潍坊市政府制定慢性病相关防控政策提供数据支持。方法通过山东省死因登记报告信息系统报告收集2021-01-01-2021-12-31潍坊市的常住死亡病例,与公安、民政死亡数据进行比对,进行补漏报,分析潍坊市粗死亡率、标化死亡率、三大类疾病死亡率、构成比及主要慢病早死概率,应用SAS 9.4进行统计分析。结果潍坊市2021年常住死亡69889例,粗死亡率744.55/10万,中国2000年人口标化死亡率327.23/10万,其中慢性病死亡率685.44/10万,占总死亡的92.06%,主要慢性病死亡率660.71/10万,占总死亡的88.73%,四大慢病早死概率为13.01%,2010-2012年粗死亡率年度变化百分比(APC)=1.16%,t=4.7,P<0.01,其中男性APC=1.36%,t=5.9,P<0.01,女性APC=1.68%,t=8.8,P<0.01。结论慢性病是潍坊市居民死亡的主要原因,四类慢病早死概率仍然偏高,男性远高于女性,政府及相关部门对于采取各种策略和方式预防控制慢性病的力度仍需加强。Objective By analyzing the causes of death and the probability of major chronic premature deaths among permanent residents in Weifang City in 2021,this study aims to provide data support for the Weifang City government to formulate chronic disease related prevention and control policies.Methods Permanent death cases in Weifang City from January 1,2021 to December 31,2021 were collected through the Shandong Province Death Cause Registration and Reporting Information System,and compared with the death data of public security and civil affairs to make up for missing reports.The crude mortality rate,standardized mortality rate,mortality rate of three major diseases,composition ratio,and probability of early death from major chronic diseases in Weifang City were analyzed using SAS 9.4 for statistical analysis.Results In 2021,there were 69889 permanent deaths in Weifang City,with a crude mortality rate of 744.55/100000,and the standardized population mortality rate in China in 2000 was 327.23/100000.Among them,the mortality rate from chronic diseases was 685.44/100000,accounting for 92.06%of the total mortality rate.The mortality rate from major chronic diseases was 660.71/100000,accounting for 88.73%of the total mortality rate.The probability of early death from the four major chronic diseases was 13.01%.From 2010 to 2012,the crude mortality rate(APC)was 1.16%,t=4.7,P<0.01,with male APC=1.36%,t=5.9,P<0.01,and female APC=1.68%,t=8.8,P<0.01.Conclusions Chronic diseases are the main cause of death among residents in Weifang City.The probability of early death from the four types of chronic diseases is still high,with males far higher than females.The government and relevant departments still need to strengthen their efforts to adopt various strategies and methods to prevent and control chronic diseases.

关 键 词：死亡趋势 早死概率 慢性病 三大类疾病 

分 类 号：R181.3[医药卫生—流行病学]