基于多种方法的信阳市水资源系统韧性评价  

Resilience evaluation of water resources system in Xinyang City based on multiple methods

作　　者：甘容 孔令迪 郭林 高勇 王英男 唐辉 GAN Rong;KONG Lingdi;GUO Lin;GAO Yong;WANG Yingnan;TANG Hui(School of Water Conservancy and Transportation,Zhengzhou University,Zhengzhou 450001,China;Henan Key Laboratory of Groundwater Pollution Prevention and Rehabilitation,Zhengzhou 450001,China;Henan Academy of Geology,Zhengzhou 450001,China;Land Consolidation and Rehabilitation Center,Ministry of Natural Resources,Beijing 100000,China)

机构地区：[1]郑州大学水利与交通学院,河南郑州450001 [2]河南省地下水污染防治与修复重点实验室,河南郑州450001 [3]河南省地质研究院,河南郑州450001 [4]自然资源部国土整治中心,北京100000

出　　处：《水资源与水工程学报》2024年第4期12-19,共8页Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering

基　　金：河南省自然资源科研项目(豫自然资202361001);河南省重点研发与推广专项(科技攻关项目)(232102320026);国家自然科学基金项目(51509222、51909091)。

摘　　要：随着经济社会的发展,水资源系统面临的风险日益严重,探究水资源系统韧性对合理利用水资源、促进水资源可持续发展具有重要意义。根据信阳市水资源实际情况,从抵抗性、恢复性、适应性层面选取18个指标确立信阳市水资源系统韧性评价指标体系,基于熵权法确定各评价指标权重,采用模糊综合评价法、灰关联分析法、TOPSIS法,分别从评价对象的优劣等级、评价对象与最优方案之间关联度和评价对象与最优方案的接近程度等3个方面对信阳市2012—2021年的水资源系统韧性展开评价。结果表明:模糊综合评价法能更好地界定水资源系统韧性的评价标准;基于模糊综合评价法,2012—2021年信阳市水资源系统韧性水平主要为等级Ⅱ和Ⅲ,变化趋势总体是上升的,但仍存在提升的空间。With the development of economy and society,water resources system is challenged by aggravating risks.Exploring the resilience of water resources system is of great essentiality for the rational use of water resources and sustainable development of water resources.According to the actual situation in Xinyang City,18 evaluation indexes were selected from the three aspects of resistance,recovery and adaptability to construct the evaluation index system of Xinyang City’s water resources system resilience.The weight of each index was determined by the entropy method,then fuzzy comprehensive evaluation,grey relational analysis and technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution(TOPSIS)were adopted to evaluate the water resources system resilience of Xinyang City from 2012 to 2021 from three aspects,namely,the evaluation object’s merit rating,the correlation between the evaluation object and the optimal solution,and the proximity between the evaluation object and the optimal solution.The results show that the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method can better define the evaluation criteria of water resources system resilience.According to the evaluation results of this method,the water resources system resilience of Xinyang City from 2012 to 2021 is mainly at levelⅡandⅢ,exhibiting a general increasing trend,but there is still room for improvement.

关 键 词：水资源系统韧性 模糊综合评价法 TOPSIS法 灰关联分析法 信阳市 

分 类 号：TV213.4[水利工程—水文学及水资源]