基于综合运输大数据的云南省降低物流成本对策研究  

Research on Strategies to Reduce Logistics Costs in Yunnan Province Based on Comprehensive Transportation Big Data

作　　者：吕木荣 贾莉莉 郝京京 张玲 LV Mu-rong;JIA Li-li;HAO Jing-jing;ZHANG Ling(Yunnan Modern Logistics Planning and Design Institute Co.,Ltd,Kunming 650500,China;School of Marxism,Kunming University of Science and Technology,Kunming 650500,China;Yunnan Modern Logistics Engineering Research Center,Kunming 650500,China)

机构地区：[1]云南现代物流规划设计研究院有限公司,云南昆明650500 [2]昆明理工大学马克思主义学院,云南昆明650500 [3]云南省现代物流工程研究中心,云南昆明650500

出　　处：《物流研究》2024年第4期42-53,共12页Logistics Research

基　　金：云南省交通运输厅科技创新及示范项目(2022-27-2)。

摘　　要：为了推动云南省物流体系“系统型降成本”,促进云南省现代物流业可持续发展,通过构建多源融合综合运输大数据集,集成ArcGIS可视化平台、复杂网络分析软件、R统计分析软件等对云南省公路、铁路的货物运输特征进行提取。研究发现:①云南省铁路货物平均运距偏“短”,铁路运输的成本优势发挥不充分;②铁路货物运输到发“失衡”现象较为显著;③公路与铁路交通设施网络与制造业生产力布局存在空间“错位”。在此基础上,从物流成本概念内涵入手,利用随机森林模型辨识云南省物流成本高企的影响因素,并按照“系统型降成本”思路,以完善物流运行体系、优化货物运输结构为主要抓手,提出云南省降低物流成本的对策建议。In order to promote the systematic cost reduction of the logistics system in Yunnan Province and promote the sustainable development of modern logistics industry in Yunnan Province,this article constructs a multi-source integrated transportation big dataset,integrates ArcGIS visualization platform,complex network analysis software,R statistical analysis software,etc,to extract the characteristics of goods transportation on highways and railways in Yunnan Province.The study found that:(1)The average railway freight distance in Yunnan Province is short,and the cost advantage of railway transportation is not fully exerted.(2)The imbalance phenomenon of railway freight transportation is more obvious.(3)There is a spatial“mismatch”between the road and rail transportation facility network and the manufacturing productivity layout.On this basis,starting from the concept of logistics costs,using the random forest model to identify the influencing factors of high logistics costs in Yunnan Province,and following the systematic cost reduction mindset,the main focus is on improving the logistics operation system and optimizing the transportation structure of goods,proposing countermeasures and suggestions for reducing logistics costs in Yunnan Province.

关 键 词：物流成本 综合运输大数据 货物运输特征 系统型降成本 

分 类 号：F259.2[经济管理—国民经济]