地区经济复杂度对对称关联性产业分化的影响  

The impact of regional economic complexity on symmetrically related diversification

作　　者：李伟[1,2,3] 伏怡铭 王宛 贺灿飞 LI Wei;FU Yiming;WANG Wan;HE Canfei(School of Geography,Nanjing Normal University,Nanjing 210023,China;Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application,Nanjing 210023,China;International Research Center of Big Data for Sustainable Development Goals,Beijing 100094,China;Chinese Academy of Macroeconomic Research,Beijing 100038,China;College of Urban and Environmental Sciences,Peking University,Beijing 100871,China;Peking University-Lincoln Institute Center for Urban Development and Land Policy,Beijing 100871,China)

机构地区：[1]南京师范大学地理科学学院,南京210023 [2]江苏省地理信息资源开发与利用协同创新中心,南京210023 [3]可持续发展大数据国际研究中心,北京100094 [4]中国宏观经济研究院,北京100038 [5]北京大学城市与环境学院,北京100871 [6]北京大学-林肯研究院城市发展与土地政策研究中心,北京100871

出　　处：《地理学报》2024年第8期1994-2019,共26页Acta Geographica Sinica

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(42001140,42171169);国家自然科学基金重点项目(41731278);可持续发展大数据国际研究中心项目(CBAS2022GSP08);江苏省双创博士项目。

摘　　要：演化经济地理学提出了区域产业演化的关联法则,基于关联性的强弱将区域产业演化划分为关联性产业分化与非关联性产业创生,但当前研究忽视了关联性产业分化中的对称性与非对称性问题。在现有理论基础上,本文将关联性产业分化划分为对称关联性产业分化和非对称关联性产业分化(又分为正向非对称关联性产业分化和负向非对称关联性产业分化),基于1998—2012年中国工业企业数据库实证研究对称关联性产业分化与非对称关联性产业分化的数量特征、产业特征及其与地区经济复杂度的关系。结果表明:①中国区域产业演化以关联性产业分化为主,在关联性产业分化中又以正向非对称关联性产业分化为主、对称关联性产业分化次之。1998—2012年中国关联性新产业占新产业总数的60%~70%左右。正向非对称关联性新产业数量占关联性新产业总数的60%左右,对称关联性新产业占关联性新产业总数的35%左右。②高技术产业的关联性分化表现出更强的对称性,而低技术产业的关联性分化表现出更强的正向非对称性。③经济复杂度越高的地区往往具有更多的非关联性产业创生,其关联性产业分化表现出更强的对称性。经济复杂度较低的地区拥有更多的关联性产业分化,并且该关联性产业分化表现出更强的正向非对称性。本文进一步拓展了区域产业演化的关联法则,并可对区域产业新旧动能转换提供政策建议。Evolutionary economic geography has proposed the principle of relatedness.According to the degree of relatedness,the regional industrial development paths can be divided into related diversification and unrelated diversification.However,the current studies neglect the symmetrical nature of relatedness.According to the degree of symmetry between two related industries,related diversification can be divided into symmetrically related diversification and asymmetrically related diversification.Using Chinese industrial enterprises database from 1998 to 2012,this paper investigates symmetrically related diversification and asymmetrically related diversification's relationship with regional economic complexity.The result shows that:(1)The regional industrial development paths are dominated by related diversification rather than unrelated diversification.The number of related new industries in China accounted for about 60%-70%of the total number of new industries from 1998 to 2012.In terms of related diversification,positively asymmetrically related diversification takes the largest part,while symmetrically related diversification takes the second largest part.The number of positively asymmetrically related new industries accounts for about 60%of the total number of related new industries,and the number of symmetrically related new industries accounts for about 35%of the total number of related new industries over the time period from 1998 to 2012.(2)Industries with higher technological complexity show stronger symmetry in their related diversification,while industries with lower technological complexity show stronger positive asymmetry in their related diversification.(3)Regions with higher economic complexity usually have more unrelated diversification and its related diversification shows stronger symmetry.Regions with lower economic complexity usually have more related diversification and this related diversification shows stronger positive asymmetry.This study can contribute to the development of the principle of re

关 键 词：关联性 对称关联性与非对称关联性 经济复杂度 区域产业演化 演化经济地理学 

分 类 号：F425[经济管理—产业经济]