中国新疆农产品出口RCEP国家贸易效率潜力研究  

A Study on the Trade Efficiency and Potential of Agricultural Products Exported from China's Xinjiang to RCEP Countries

作　　者：余南茜 张庆萍[1] Yu Nanqian;Zhang Qingping(School of Economics and Management,Xinjiang Agricultural University,Urumqi 830052)

机构地区：[1]新疆农业大学经济管理学院,乌鲁木齐830052

出　　处：《北方经贸》2024年第8期19-27,共9页Northern Economy and Trade

摘　　要：本文通过随机前沿引力模型分析测算中国新疆同RCEP成员国农产品出口贸易效率及潜力,并用一步法探讨了阻碍我国新疆农产品出口RCEP成员国的主要因素,为扩大中国新疆农产品出口提出政策建议。研究表明:中国新疆同RCEP国家平均贸易效率为0.621;农产品平均关税水平、自由贸易协定和贸易自由度对中国新疆农产品出口贸易效率的影响并不显著,而物流绩效指数、商业自由度和政府效率对出口贸易效率具有显著正向影响;泰国、菲律宾、印度尼西亚、越南是高贸易潜力国家,而缅甸具有最高贸易拓展空间。为促进中国新疆农产品对RCEP成员国的出口,应在增强农产品竞争力、提升农产品物流绩效方面发力,并将扩大出口努力放在出口市场贸易潜力大的国家上。This paper analyzes and measures the trade efficiency and potential of agricultural exports from Xinjiang,China to RCEP member countries through a stochastic frontier gravity model,and explores the main factors hindering Xinjiang's agricultural exports to RCEP member countries with the one-step method to put forward policy suggestions for expanding Xinjiang's agricultural exports.The results show that:the average trade efficiency between Xinjiang,China with RCEP countries is 0.621;the average tariff level of agricultural products,free trade agreements and trade freedom do not have a significant impact on Xinjiang's agricultural product export trade efficiency,whereas the logistics performance index,commercial freedom,and government efficiency have a significant and positive impact on the export trade efficiency;Thailand,Philippines,Indonesia,and Vietnam are high trade potential countries,and Myanmar has the highest trade expansion space.In order to promote the export of agricultural products from Xinjiang,China to RCEP member countries,efforts should be made to enhance the competitiveness of agricultural products and improve the logistics performance of agricultural products,and focus export expansion efforts on countries with large export markets and high trade potential.

关 键 词：中国新疆 农产品出口 RCEP 贸易潜力 

分 类 号：F752.6[经济管理—国际贸易]