2024年7月中国需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估  

Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in China,July 2024

作　　者：杨康 秦颖[3] 牟笛[3] 李建东[4] 魏建春 王锐[2] 任婧寰[2] 王霄晔 施国庆[2] 孟玲[2] 向妮娟[2] Yang Kang;Qin Ying;Mu Di;Li Jiandong;Wei Jianchun;Wang Rui;Ren Jinghuan;Wang Xiaoye;Shi Guoqing;Meng Ling;Xiang Nijuan(Bozhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Bozhou 236800,Anhui,China;National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases,Public Health Emergency Center,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 102206,China;National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases,Division of Infectious Disease,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 102206,China;National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases,National Institute for Viral Disease Control and Prevention,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 102206,China;National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases,National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 102206,China)

机构地区：[1]亳州市疾病预防控制中心,安徽亳州236800 [2]中国疾病预防控制中心应急中心,传染病溯源预警与智能决策全国重点实验室,北京102206 [3]中国疾病预防控制中心传染病处,传染病溯源预警与智能决策全国重点实验室,北京102206 [4]中国疾病预防控制中心传染病预防控制所,传染病溯源预警与智能决策全国重点实验室,北京102206 [5]中国疾病预防控制中心病毒病预防控制所,传染病溯源预警与智能决策全国重点实验室,北京102206

出　　处：《疾病监测》2024年第7期817-819,共3页Disease Surveillance

摘　　要：目的评估2024年7月在我国(不含香港特别行政区、澳门特别行政区和台湾省,下同)发生或者可能由境外输入的突发公共卫生事件风险。方法根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请各省(自治区、直辖市)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。结果近期境内新型冠状病毒感染疫情低位回升,可能继续在低水平波动,登革热本地传播疫情风险逐渐增加,可能发生聚集性疫情,炭疽病例仍可能发生,高温中暑、洪涝灾区水源性、食源性和媒介传染病风险增加。结论对新型冠状病毒感染、登革热、炭疽、高温中暑、洪涝灾害予以关注。Objective To assess the risk of public health emergencies that may occur or be imported from abroad in China(except Hong Kong and Macao Special Administrative Regions and Taiwan province,the same below)in July 2024.Methods Based on various data and departmental notification information on domestic and foreign public health emergencies reports and surveillance of key infectious diseases,the expert consultation method was used and experts from provincial(autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the central government)centers for disease control and prevention were invited to participate in the assessment by video conference.Results Recently,the epidemic situation of coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)in China has rebounded from a low level and may continue to fluctuate at a low level.The risk of a local dengue fever epidemic is gradually increasing,and there is a risk of large-scale outbreaks.Anthrax cases may still occur.The risk of heat stroke resulting from high temperatures,as well as the increased susceptibility to waterborne,foodborne,and vector-borne infectious diseases in flood-affected areas.Conclusion Attention should pay to COVID-19,dengue fever,anthrax,heatstroke,flood disaster.

关 键 词：突发公共卫生事件 传染病疫情 风险评估 

分 类 号：R211[医药卫生—中医学] R51