我国进出口商品结构对人民币汇率的影响  

The Impact of China's Import and Export Commodity Structure on the RMB Exchange Rate

作　　者：梁皓宇 吕中文 LIANG Haoyu;LYU Zhongwen(Central University of Finance and Economics Innovation and Development College China Academy of Public Finance and Policy Research,Beijing 100081)

机构地区：[1]中央财经大学创新发展学院中国公共财政与政策研究院,北京100081

出　　处：《中国科技纵横》2024年第10期150-152,共3页China Science & Technology Overview

摘　　要：本文对2020-2023年我国每月进出口初级产品与工业制成品的比例变化,与每月币值较稳定国家的汇率变化进行回归分析,研究我国工业制成品进出口额与初级产品进出口额变化对我国主要贸易伙伴币种汇率的影响。研究发现,我国工业制成品出口额与初级产品出口额比值与对美元人民币中间汇率价呈正相关,其余因素影响并不显著。This article conducts a regression analysis on the changes in the proportion of China's monthly imports and exports of primary products to industrial manufactured products from 2020 to 2023,as well as the exchange rate changes of countries with relatively stable monthly currency values.It studies the impact of changes in China's industrial manufactured product imports and exports and primary product imports and exports on the exchange rates of China's major trading partners.Research has found that the ratio of China's industrial finished product exports to primary product exports is positively correlated with the middle exchange rate between the US dollar and the Chinese yuan,while other factors have no significant impact.

关 键 词：中国出口商品结构 中国进口商品结构 人民币中间汇率价 

分 类 号：F832.6[经济管理—金融学]