生物质能源产业发展演化机制及障碍因子  

Evolution Mechanism and Obstacle Factors of Biomass Energy Industry Development

作　　者：冯雪 曹玉昆[2] FENG Xue;CAO Yukun(Business School,Qingdao University of Technology,Qingdao 266525,China;College of Economics and Management,Northeast Forestry University,Harbin 150040,China)

机构地区：[1]青岛理工大学商学院,山东青岛266525 [2]东北林业大学经济管理学院,哈尔滨150040

出　　处：《林业经济问题》2024年第3期273-283,共11页Issues of Forestry Economics

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究项目(19YJCZH150);山东省社会科学联合会人文社会科学项目(重点智库)(2023-zkzd-050);山东省重点研发计划(软科学项目)重点项目(2023RZB01003);2022年度青岛市社会科学规划研究项目(QDSKL2201183)。

摘　　要：以黑龙江重点国有林区为研究区域,基于2005—2017年面板数据,遵循DPSIR理论模型的分析范式,利用PLS-SEM解构生物质能源产业发展的演化机制和作用路径,运用障碍度模型识别影响生物质能源产业发展的主要障碍因子。结果表明:黑龙江重点国有林区生物质能源产业形成了“驱动力→压力→状态→影响”“响应→驱动力”以及“响应→影响”3条演化路径;2005—2017年影响黑龙江重点国有林区生物质能源产业发展的障碍因子变动较大,主要障碍因子从2005年的生物质发电并网装机容量、生物质发电量、农作物秸秆能源资源量、生物质能源专利和生物质能源研发投入强度等指标,转变为2017年的原油消耗量、原煤消耗量、天然气消耗量、万元GDP能耗和林业系统专业技术人员等指标,涉及技术水平指标一直是主要障碍因子。因此,加大技术创新力度和完善政策支撑体系是提升黑龙江重点国有林区生物质能源产业发展效率的有效途径。⑴Background——After the implementation of the policy of completely banning the logging of natural forests,the key state-owned forest areas in Heilongjiang Province are faced with the dilemma of lack of pillar industries and slow economic growth.The development of biomass energy industry helps to accelerate the transformation and upgrading of the industrial structure in the forest areas,promote the coordinated development of“ecology-economy-society”,and implement the policy of“dual carbon”goal.⑵Methods——Based on the analysis paradigm of DPSIR theoretical model,this paper analyzed the evolution mechanism of the development of biomass energy industry from the perspective of“cause-effect”,and put forward the research hypotheses.The research data were panel data of the key state-owned forest areas in Heilongjiang Province from 2005 to 2017,which were mainly collected from“Compilation of Comprehensive Statistical Data of Heilongjiang Forest Industry”,“China Forestry Statistical Yearbook”,“Heilongjiang Statistical Yearbook”,statistical data of China Longjiang Forest Industry Group,“Heilongjiang Ecological and Environmental Status Bulletin”,and statistical bulletins on national economic and social development of 10 cities.Then,the paper used PLS-SEM to verify the hypotheses and clarified the effect paths of the development of biomass energy industry.On this basis,it constructed a comprehensive evaluation index system for the development of biomass energy industry,and identified the main obstacle factors affecting the development of biomass energy industry by using the obstacle degree model.⑶Results——First,the biomass energy industry system of the key state-owned forest areas in Heilongjiang Province was interconnected and interlinked,and the development of biomass energy industry and economic and social development of the forest areas promoted each other,forming three effect paths of“driving force→pressure→state→impact”,“response→driving force”and“response→

关 键 词：生物质能源产业 演化机制 障碍因子 DPSIR理论模型 PLS-SEM 

分 类 号：F326.20[经济管理—产业经济]