服务业发展如何影响经济增长动能  

How Does the Development of the Service Sector Affect the Momentum of Economic Growth?

作　　者：郑冯忆 丁松 Zheng Fengyi;Ding Song

机构地区：[1]华中科技大学经济学院,湖北武汉430074 [2]北京大学经济学院,北京100080

出　　处：《河南社会科学》2024年第9期76-87,共12页Henan Social Sciences

基　　金：中国博士后科学基金资助项目“服务业效能提升及其支撑现代化产业体系建设的理论机理与中国对策研究”(GZC20230896);“国家资助博士后研究人员计划”资助。

摘　　要：从服务业成本病与产业集聚的角度出发,探讨服务业发展及内部结构变迁影响全要素生产率增长的内在机制,为如何通过服务业发展与结构优化寻求经济增长新旧动能转换,从而推动经济体系优化升级与高质量发展提供了理论借鉴与指导。基于2006—2022年中国省际面板数据,研究发现:(1)相对于生产性服务业、公共性服务业以及服务业整体,服务业成本病现象尚集中于消费性服务业。(2)服务业的集聚发展主要来自公共性服务业的推动作用,生产性服务业次之,消费性服务业最弱。(3)服务业成本病会产生不利于全要素生产率增长的拖累效应,而该效应目前仅存在于消费性服务业,在生产性服务业与公共性服务业中并不显著。(4)服务业集聚效应也会对全要素生产率增长呈现负向抑制作用,但主要来源于消费性服务业与公共性服务业的集聚发展,来源于生产性服务业的集聚发展能够呈现正向的推动作用。Starting from the perspectives of the cost disease in the service industry and industrial agglomeration,this study explores the internal mechanisms through which the development of the service industry and changes in its internal structure impact the growth of total factor productivity.It provides theoretical references and guidance on how to seek the transformation of economic growth momentum through the development and structural optimization of the service industry,thereby promoting the optimization and upgrading of the economic system and high-quality development.Based on provincial panel data from China for the years 2006-2017,the study finds that:(1)Compared to productive services,public services,and the overall service industry,the phenomenon of the cost disease is still concentrated in consumer services;(2)The agglomeration development of the service industry is mainly driven by public services,followed by productive services,with consumer services being the weakest;(3)The cost disease of the service industry has a dragging effect that is detrimental to the growth of total factor productivity,but this effect currently only exists in consumer services and is not significant in productive or public services;(4)The agglomeration effect of the service industry also exhibits a negative inhibitory effect on the growth of total factor productivity,but it mainly comes from the agglomeration development of consumer and public services,while the agglomeration development from productive services can show a positive driving effect.

关 键 词：服务业成本病 产业集聚 全要素生产率 增长动能 行业异质性 

分 类 号：F719[经济管理—产业经济]