基于博弈论-云化物元模型的昆仑山山区公路边坡稳定性分析  

Analysis of Slope Stability in Kunlun Mountain Highways Based on Game Theory-Cloud Element Model

作　　者：张银博 李耀业 张兴博 马莲霞 何蓉 ZHANG Yin-bo;LI Yao-ye;ZHANG Xing-bo;MA Lian-xia;HE Rong(Xinjiang Communications Construction Group Co.Ltd.,Urumqi 830016,China;Xinjiang Highway Maintenance Engineering Technology Research Center,Urumqi 830016,China;Xinjiang University,Urumqi 830000,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆交通建设集团股份有限公司,乌鲁木齐市830016 [2]新疆公路养护工程技术研究中心,乌鲁木齐市830016 [3]新疆大学,乌鲁木齐市830000

出　　处：《公路》2024年第8期137-144,共8页Highway

基　　金：新疆科技厅自治区重点研发计划项目,项目编号2022B03033。

摘　　要：针对高海拔高寒高烈度地区公路岩质边坡稳定性的模糊性和随机性特点,建立了基于博弈论-云化物元模型的评价方法,采用云模型与物元理论耦合建立评估模型进行稳定性评价。为评价高海拔高寒高烈度地区公路岩质边坡稳定性,首先,结合昆仑山区某公路工程,分析了岩质边坡稳定性影响因素,确定边坡稳定性评价指标体系;然后,采用层次分析法和熵权法确定了评价指标主观权重和客观权重,基于博弈论计算得到组合权重;最后,通过云关联度计算,基于最大隶属度原则确定岩质边坡稳定性等级。将所建立评价模型应用到昆仑山区某公路岩质边坡稳定性评价中,工程实例应用结果表明:该模型评价结果与实际情况一致,可供类似公路的边坡工程参考,为高海拔高寒高烈度公路边坡稳定性评价问题的解决提供了有益的经验。In response to the inherent uncertainties and stochastic characteristics of rock slope stability in high-altitude,cold and high-intensity mountainous regions,an evaluation method based on the game theory-cloud matter-element model is developed.This method integrates cloud modeling and the matterelement theory to establish an assessment model for evaluating stability.To assess the stability of rock slopes in high-altitude,cold and high-intensity mountainous areas,the factors influencing rock slope stability are analyzed by considering a specific highway project in the Kunlun Mountain region.An evaluation index system for slope stability is determined.Subsequently,the subjective weights and objective weights of the evaluation indices are determined using the analytic hierarchy process and entropy weight method respectively.The combined weights are calculated based on game theory principles.Finally,the rock slope stability level is determined using cloud correlation calculation and the principle of maximum membership degree.The evaluation model is applied to assess the stability of rock slopes in a highway project in the Kunlun Mountain region.The project practice demonstrates that the evaluation outcomes of the model are consistent with the actual conditions.The model can serve as a valuable reference for similar slope projects in high-altitude,cold and high-intensity areas,providing practical insights for addressing stability issues in rock slopes along such highways.

关 键 词：岩质边坡 稳定性评价 博弈论 云化物元模型 

分 类 号：U416.14[交通运输工程—道路与铁道工程] P642.2[天文地球—工程地质学]