数字红利与数字鸿沟对共同富裕的多维影响效应检验  

The Multi-dimensional Effect Test of Digital Dividend and Digital Divide on Common Prosperity

作　　者：王春枝 吴敖日格乐 WANG Chunzhi;WU Aorigele

机构地区：[1]内蒙古财经大学统计与数学学院,内蒙古呼和浩特010010

出　　处：《深圳社会科学》2024年第5期57-68,共12页Social Sciences in Shenzhen

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目“民族地区高等教育量、质溢价及其贫困的代际传递阻断效应与路径研究”(BMA180038)。

摘　　要：在数字经济迈向全面扩展期,探析如何促进共同富裕目标,并在实践中积极寻求符合中国国情的具体措施,有助于更好地推动共同富裕的实现。基于2011—2021年中国30个省域面板数据,运用熵值法构建省域层面的共同富裕发展水平、数字红利发展水平和数字鸿沟状态,并结合固定效应模型、空间杜宾模型以及面板门限模型等数理统计模型对数字经济的双重性进行检验,从因果推断的角度验证数字经济对共同富裕的赋能效应。研究发现,数字经济对共同富裕的影响是双重的,既有红利效应,也存在鸿沟效应。其中,对东部和中部地区来说,数字红利可以显著促进共同富裕;但对于西部地区而言,数字红利并未充分释放,面临数字鸿沟所带来的挑战。随着时间的推移,数字经济的鸿沟效应对共同富裕的影响逐渐减弱,而红利效应则逐渐增强,这意味着随着数字鸿沟的减损,数字经济的红利效应对共同富裕的影响将呈现出显著的正向非线性特征,即其边际效应逐渐增加。此外,研究还发现空间溢出效应的存在,表明数字红利对邻近地区的共同富裕产生积极融合效应,而数字鸿沟则可能导致区隔效应。为此,发挥数字经济赋能共同富裕,应以数字基础设施为引擎充分释放数字红利,以数字技术创新为动力强化数字中国关键能力,以公共数字文化为平台促进文化传承和创新,以数字红利外溢为契机推动区域协调发展,以数字治理体系为支撑提升国家治理效能,促使政府和企业形成合力,走好新时期共同富裕“赶考之路”。Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2011 to 2021,this article uses the entropy method to construct the common prosperity development level,digital dividend development level and digital divide status at the provincial level.we combine the fixed effects model,spatial Durbin model and panel threshold Mathematical statistical models.we model have tested the duality of the digital economy and verified the enabling effect of the digital economy on common prosperity from the perspective of causal inference.The study found that the impact of the digital economy on common prosperity is dual,with both a dividend effect and a divide effect.Among them,for the eastern and central regions,the digital dividend can significantly promote common prosperity.But for the western region,the digital dividend has not been fully released and faces the challenges brought by the digital divide.As time goes by,the digital economy’s divide effect on common prosperity gradually weakens,while the dividend effect gradually strengthens.This means that as the digital divide diminishes,the dividend effect of the digital economy on common prosperity will show significant positive nonlinear characteristics.That is,its marginal effect will g radually increase.In addition,we also found the existence of spatial spillover effects,indicating that the digital dividend has a positive integration effect on the common prosperity of neighboring areas,while the digital divide may lead to a segmentation effect.

关 键 词：共同富裕 数字红利 数字鸿沟 溢出效应 门限效应 

分 类 号：F49[经济管理—产业经济]