沿海省份城市发展活力评价及其互动关系研究——以副省级城市为例  

Evaluation of Urban Development Vitality and Its Interactive Relationship in Coastal Provinces:A Case Study of Sub-provincial Cities

作　　者：郭建科[1,2] 郑玉 董梦如 金雪莹[4] 田深圳[1] GUO Jianke;ZHENG Yu;DONG Mengru;JIN Xueying;TIAN Shenzhen(College of Geographical Sciences,Institute of Marine Sustainable Development of Liaoning Normal University,Liaoning Normal University,Dalian 116029,China;Key Research Base of Humanities and Social Sciences of Ministry of Education,Institute of Marine Sustainable Development of Liaoning Normal University,Liaoning Normal University,Dalian 116029,China;Institute of Strategic Studies,Shanghai Jiaotong University,Shanghai 200030,China;International Business School,Shenyang Normal University,Shenyang 110034,China)

机构地区：[1]辽宁师范大学地理科学学院,辽宁大连116029 [2]辽宁师范大学教育部人文社科重点研究基地辽宁师范大学海洋可持续发展研究院,辽宁大连116029 [3]上海交通大学国家战略研究院,上海200030 [4]沈阳师范大学国际商学院,沈阳110034

出　　处：《地域研究与开发》2024年第4期64-71,共8页Areal Research and Development

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(22JJD 790028)。

摘　　要：以德鲁克社会创新为理论基础,基于城市内三大行为活动主体构建包含人居环境、营商环境、治理环境系统的发展活力评价指标体系,利用多因子分层动态激励模型对2006—2020年我国沿海省份8个副省级城市的发展活力进行评价,运用耦合协调模型和面板向量自回归模型分别测度并分析3个子系统间的耦合协调情况和互动关系。结果表明:(1)各城市的发展活力由高到低依次为广州、深圳、杭州、南京、青岛、宁波、大连、厦门,城市间发展活力综合评价结果两极分化明显,营商环境是影响城市发展活力提升最重要的因素,人居环境次之,治理环境最小。(2)8个城市的耦合协调级别不高,整体处于失调类型。(3)3个系统间相互作用,但其发展水平主要受自身影响。其中,人居环境系统显著受其他两个系统影响;营商环境系统受治理环境系统影响较强;治理环境系统主要依靠自身调节,受其他系统的影响较小。Based on Drucker’s social innovation,this paper has constructed an evaluation index system of urban development vitality including human settlement-business-governance environment system based on three behavioral actors,and the development vitality of eight sub-provincial cities in China’s coastal provinces from 2006 to 2020 was evaluated by using the multi-factor hierarchical dynamic incentive model,then,used the coupling coordination model and the panel vector autoregressive model to measure and analyze the coupling coordination and interaction between the three subsystems.The results show that:(1)The order of development vitality of the eight cities from high to low is Guangzhou,Shenzhen,Hangzhou,Nanjing,Qingdao,Ningbo,Dalian,Xiamen.(2)The coupling coordination level of the eight cities is not high,and the whole is in the disorder type.(3)The three systems interact with each other,but their development level is mainly affected by themselves.Among them,the human settlements system was significantly affected by the other two systems.The business environment system is strongly affected by the governance environment system.The governance environment system mainly relies on self-regulation,and is less affected by other systems.

关 键 词：社会创新理论 城市发展活力 营商环境 动态激励模型 面板向量自回归模型 沿海省份 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]