“新南向政策”下台印关系的变化及趋势  

The Change and Trend of Taiwan-India Relations under the“New Southbound Policy”

作　　者：关培凤[1] 王鹏程 Guan Peifeng;Wang Pengcheng

机构地区：[1]武汉大学中国边界与海洋研究院、国家领土主权与海洋权益协同创新中心 [2]江汉大学马克思主义学院

出　　处：《台湾研究》2024年第4期42-52,共11页Taiwan Studies

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目“中印关系中的重大国际法问题研究”(项目批准号:18ZDA154);国家社科基金冷门绝学“中锡中不边界档案文献收集整理与研究”(项目批准号:2108VJX106)的阶段性研究成果;武汉大学中央高校基本科研业务费资助。

摘　　要：台湾地区领导人蔡英文上任之初便提出旨在降低对内地“经济依赖”,引导台湾地区业界向南发展的“新南向政策”,重点强化对东盟和印度的整体关系。2014年印度总理莫迪上台后将“东向政策”升级为“东向行动政策”,为台湾地区发展对印经贸关系提供了契机。台印双方基于所谓“共同利益认知”,在政治安全、经贸发展、教育文化等领域取得了一定成绩。但长远来看,印度较差的营商环境、台印薄弱的民意基础以及台湾地区对内地持续较高的贸易依赖,压缩了台印经贸关系的发展空间;而民进党当局拒不承认“九二共识”,并多渠道“谋独”的种种行径对两岸和平的严重破坏,也将在根本上制约台印关系的发展前景。At the beginning of Tsai Ing-wen's taking office,this Taiwan's region leader puts forward a“new southbound policy”aiming at reducing economic dependence on the China's Mainland,guiding Taiwan's region industries to develop southward,strengthening overall ties with ASEAN and India.With the coming into power of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi in 2014,the“Look East Policy”has been upgraded to the“Act East Policy”,which provided an opportunity for Taiwan,China to develop economic and trade relations with India.Based on the so-called“perception of common interests”,Taiwan,China and India have made certain achievements in the fields of political security,economic and trade development,education and culture.However,in the long run,the relatively poor business environment in India,the weak public opinion base between Taiwan,China and India,and Taiwan's region continued high trade dependence on the China's Mainland have reduced the development space of Taiwan,China-India economic and trade relations;The democratic progressive party(DPP)authorities'refusal to recognize the“1992 Consensus”and their actions of seeking“independence”through multiple channels have seriously damaged the peace across the Taiwan Straits,and will fundamentally restrict the development prospects of Taiwan,China-India relations.

关 键 词：新南向政策 东向行动政策 台印关系 变化 趋势 

分 类 号：D827.58[政治法律—政治学]