中国出口“21世纪海上丝绸之路”沿线国家体育用品贸易效率及潜力的实证研究  

An Empirical Study on the Trade Efficiency and Potential of China’s Exports of Sporting Goods to Countries along the“21st Century Maritime Silk Road”

作　　者：刘从众 陈颇 杨世成 LIU Congzhong;CHEN Po;YANG Shicheng(School of Physical Education and Sport Science,Fujian Normal University,Fuzhou 350117,China;College of Physical Education and Health Science,Chongqing Normal University,Chongqing 401331,China)

机构地区：[1]福建师范大学体育科学学院,福州350117 [2]重庆师范大学体育与健康科学学院,重庆401331

出　　处：《河北体育学院学报》2024年第5期21-29,共9页Journal of Hebei Sport University

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“‘一带一路’沿线国家体育用品贸易合作网络解构与高质量发展机制研究”(21XTY002);重庆市教委人文社会科学研究重点项目“体育强国建设背景下体育用品贸易高质量发展的机理与实证研究”(23SKGH064);重庆市教委科技重点项目“中国与‘一带一路’沿线国家冰雪运动产品贸易潜力测度及高质量发展机制研究”(KJZD-K202200503)。

摘　　要：基于2011—2021年中国出口“21世纪海上丝绸之路”沿线国家体育用品贸易的面板数据,运用随机前沿引力模型,测算出相关贸易效率及潜力,并从不同视角实证分析其影响因素。研究表明:①中国出口沿线国家体育用品贸易总额呈波动增长特征,主要出口产品为HS9506(体操、田径、乒乓球、泳池设备及其他),出口市场集中、产品结构单一。②人均GDP正向影响体育用品贸易的增长,贸易的地理距离负向影响体育用品出口规模的扩大。关于贸易效率及潜力,RCEP成员国与较大货柜码头吞吐量会促使其显著提升,而较低的政府运作效率和贸易自由度则相反。③我国与沿线国家体育用品贸易效率整体偏低,且具有明显的时间波动性和国别差异性。贸易潜力呈现出“上升-下降-上升”的特征,与我国出口沿线国家体育用品贸易额变化总体一致。Based on the panel data of China[DK]’s export of sporting goods along the“21st Century Maritime Silk Road”from 2011 to 2021,this paper uses the stochastic frontier gravity model to measure the relevant trade efficiency and potential,and empirically analyzes its influencing factors from different perspectives.The results show that:①The total trade volume of sporting goods in countries along China's export routes shows a fluctuating growth trend.The main export products are HS9506(gymnastics,track and field,table tennis,swimming pool equipment and others).The export market is concentrated and the product structure is single.②GDP per capita has a positive impact on the growth of sporting goods trade,and the geographical distance of trade has a negative impact on the expansion of sporting goods export scale.In terms of trade efficiency and potential,the throughput of RCEP member countries and larger container terminals will promote their significant improvement,while the lower government operation efficiency and trade freedom are the opposite.③The trade efficiency of sporting goods between China and countries along the route is generally low,and has obvious time volatility and country differences.The trade potential shows the characteristics of“rise-fall-rise”,which is generally consistent with the changes in the trade volume of sporting goods in countries along China[DK]’s export routes.

关 键 词：21世纪海上丝绸之路 体育用品出口 贸易潜力及效率 随机前沿引力模型 

分 类 号：G80-05[文化科学—运动人体科学]