全球体育用品贸易格局演化及其对中国的启示  

Evolution of Global Sporting Goods Trade Pattern and its Enlightenment to China

作　　者：杨世成 陈颇 YANG Shicheng;CHEN Po(College of P.E.and Health Sciences,Chongqing Normal University,Chongqing 401331,China)

机构地区：[1]重庆师范大学体育与健康科学学院,重庆401331

出　　处：《山东体育学院学报》2024年第4期60-71,共12页Journal of Shandong Sport University

基　　金：国家社会科学基金西部项目(编号:21XTY002);重庆市教育委员会人文社会科学研究项目(编号:23SKGH064);重庆市研究生科研创新项目(编号:CYS23390)。

摘　　要：该研究基于2000—2021年全球体育用品贸易数据,运用复杂网络方法分析了全球体育用品贸易格局演化规律,采用地理加权回归模型探究了不同驱动因素对体育用品贸易的影响效应。结果表明:(1)网络结构特征方面,全球体育用品贸易网络日渐紧密,“小世界”特征显著;(2)网络节点特征方面,全球体育用品贸易关系中存在明显的非对称性依赖关系;(3)网络核心—边缘结构特征方面,全球体育用品贸易网络符合“帕累托原则”,“圈层壁垒”特征加重,发展中国家始终无法打破“阶层僵化”局面;(4)社团结构特征方面,贸易格局受到“地理邻近”的影响,形成以邻为伴的贸易群落;(5)全球体育用品贸易驱动因素方面,经济规模始终保持微弱的正向驱动效应,人口数量的负向影响程度不断加深,价格水平的影响效应由抑制转向促进,开放程度具有较强的推动作用;(6)中国体育用品贸易特征包括进出口贸易持续增长,对外贸易更加多元,核心地位趋于上升。建议中国政府应积极建立体育用品贸易风险防范机制,构建更加开放和互利的体育用品贸易体系,营造更加公平和开放的体育用品贸易环境,多措并举确保体育用品贸易安全。Based on the data of global sporting goods trade from 2000 to 2021,this study analyzed the pattern evolution of global sporting goods trade by using complex network method,and explored the effects of different driving factors on sporting goods trade by using geographical weighted regression model.The results show that:(1)In terms of the structure characteristics of network,the global sporting goods trade network is increasingly close,and the"small world"feature is significant.(2)In terms of the node characteristics of network,there is an obvious asymmetric dependence relationship in the global sporting goods trade relationship.(3)In terms of the core-edge structure characteristics of network,the global sporting goods trade network conforms to the"Pareto principle"and the"circle barrier"features are aggravated,and developing countries have always been unable to break the"class rigidity"situation.(4)In terms of the characteristics of community structure,the trade pattern is affected by"geographical proximity",forming a trade community with neighbors as partners.(5)In terms of the driving factors of global sporting goods trade,economic scale has always maintained a weak positive driving effect;The negative influence degree of population is deepening.The effect of price level changes from inhibition to promotion;The degree of openness has a strong driving effect.(6)The characteristics of China′s sporting goods trade include the continuous growth of import and export trade,more diversified foreign trade,and the core position tends to rise.It is suggested that the Chinese government should actively establish a risk prevention mechanism for sporting goods trade,build a more open and mutually beneficial sporting goods trade system,create a more fair and open sporting goods trade environment,and take multiple measures to ensure the safety of sporting goods trade.

关 键 词：体育用品 国际贸易 格局演化 驱动因素 复杂网络 GWR模型 

分 类 号：G80-052[文化科学—运动人体科学]