基于抵御⁃吸收⁃更新的乡村韧性系统协调发展特征与动态响应机制——以黑龙江省为例  

The coordinated development characteristics and dynamic response mechanism of defense⁃absorption⁃renewal of rural resilience system in Heilongjiang Province,China

作　　者：陈晓红[1] 谷岳 潘玮 王颖[1] 牟金明 李悦 CHEN Xiaohong;GU Yue;PAN Wei;WANG Ying;MU Jinming;LI Yue(College of Geography Science,Harbin Normal University,Harbin 150025,China;Harbin Urban and Rural Planning&Design Institute,Harbin 150010,China)

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨师范大学地理科学学院,哈尔滨150025 [2]哈尔滨市城乡规划设计研究院,哈尔滨150010

出　　处：《生态学报》2024年第16期6976-6988,共13页Acta Ecologica Sinica

基　　金：黑龙江省自然科学基金项目(JJ2023LH0720);黑龙江省哲学社会科学研究规划项目(21JLE323);哈尔滨师范大学2022年社会服务能力提升项目(1305123124)。

摘　　要：乡村韧性是乡村巨系统的基本属性,构建基于韧性发生学的“抵御⁃吸收⁃更新”研究框架,可以为乡村韧性系统持续协调发展研究提供新的研究视角。科学测度与审视黑龙江省乡村韧性“抵御⁃吸收⁃更新”三个子系统之间的耦合协调特征及其动态响应过程,对于提升乡村系统应对外界复杂多重扰动的能力具有重要意义。基于黑龙江省2005—2020年的县域数据,运用熵值法、耦合协调度模型、PVAR模型等方法刻画了黑龙江省乡村韧性系统“抵御⁃吸收⁃更新能力”协调发展的时空格局与动态响应机制。结果表明:(1)黑龙江省乡村韧性子系统“抵御⁃吸收⁃更新”的耦合协调水平整体较低,大部分处于轻度失调、濒临失调与勉强协调的阶段。(2)耦合协调度高值区主要集中在地形平坦的松嫩平原及三江平原地区或靠近主城区经济较为发达的县域。(3)乡村韧性系统耦合协调度的提升是“抵御⁃吸收⁃更新”三个子系统共同作用的结果,且贡献程度差异较大,更新能力>抵御能力>吸收能力。(4)更新能力子系统的提升对乡村韧性系统耦合协调水平的响应最为显著,是实现乡村韧性系统均衡发展的首要目标;抵御能力与吸收能力子系统的影响程度较小,是实现乡村韧性系统均衡发展的重要支撑。Rural resilience is one of the basic attributes of the rural giant system,and the construction of the research framework of"defense⁃absorption⁃renewal"based on resilience genesis can provide a new research perspective for the study of the sustainable and coordinated development of rural resilience system.Through scientific measurement and analysis,the coupling and coordination characteristics between the three subsystems of rural resilience defense⁃absorption⁃renewal in Heilongjiang Province and their dynamic response process are of great significance to enhance the ability of rural system to cope with the complex and multiple external perturbations.Based on the county data of Heilongjiang Province from 2005 to 2020,the entropy value method,the coupled coordination degree model,and the PVAR model were used to characterize the spatial and temporal pattern and dynamic response process of the rural resilience system of"defense⁃absorption⁃renewal capacity"in Heilongjiang Province.The spatio⁃temporal pattern and dynamic response mechanism of the coordinated development of the rural resilience system in Heilongjiang Province are characterized by the entropy value method.The results of the study show that:(1)the coupling and coordination levels among the defense,absorption and renewal capacities of the subsystems of the rural resilience system in Heilongjiang Province as a whole show a low level.Most of the county units are in the stage of mildly imbalanced,on the verge of imbalanced,and barely coordinated.(2)The high value of coupling coordination is mainly concentrated in the flat topography of Songnen Plain and Sanjiang Plain.County units close to the main urban areas with more developed economies also show a high level of coupling coordination.(3)The increase in the coupling coordination level of the rural resilience system is the result of the joint action of the three subsystems of defense⁃absorption⁃renewal.The degree of contribution to the improvement of the coupling coordination level varies g

关 键 词：乡村韧性 抵御⁃吸收⁃更新 耦合协调 动态响应 黑龙江省 

分 类 号：F327[经济管理—产业经济]