大兴凸起东缘断裂的三维建模及其最大潜在地震评估  

3D MODELING AND MAXIMUM POTENTIAL SEISMIC ASSESS-MENT OF THE EASTERN MARGIN FAULT OF DAXING UPLIFT

作　　者：张雅静 李正芳[1] 周本刚[1] 肖海波[2] ZHANG Ya-jing;LI Zheng-fang;ZHOU Ben-gang;XIAO Hai-bo(Institute of Geology,China Earthquake Administration,Beijing 100029,China;Beijing Engineering Corporation Limited,Beijing 100024,China)

机构地区：[1]中国地震局地质研究所,北京100029 [2]中国电建集团北京勘测设计研究院有限公司,北京100024

出　　处：《地震地质》2024年第4期802-820,共19页Seismology and Geology

基　　金：国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFC3003501)资助

摘　　要：通过最新的浅部地震反射剖面和钻孔资料发现了大兴凸起东缘断裂全新世活动的证据,这一发现改变了近几十年以来认为的其晚第四纪以来没有活动的结论,对北京市地震灾害风险普查工作具有重要的应用价值,同时也对大兴凸起东缘断裂最大潜在地震的震级上限评估提出了新的挑战。文中通过收集和整理多条地震浅层物探剖面和地震深反射剖面,利用SKUA-GOCAD三维建模软件构建了大兴凸起东缘断裂的三维模型,模拟了大兴凸起东缘断裂在三维空间中的展布情况,揭示了该断裂的几何学特征及深浅构造关系。通过将大兴凸起东缘断裂和与其呈右阶排列的夏垫断裂进行构造类比,对大兴凸起东缘断裂深、浅部的构造特征进行了讨论,认为大兴凸起东缘断裂是一条深浅共存的活动断裂,并利用震级-破裂尺度经验关系式综合估计该断裂上可能诱发的最大潜在地震为7.5级。这一结论对首都圈南部地区开展震灾防治工作具有重要的科学指导意义。The eastern margin fault of Daxing uplift is an important boundary fault in the southeast of Beijing Plain.The fault is located in the southeast of properthe Xiadian Fault and is distributed in the correct order en echelon with the Xiadian Fault,which controls the development of Langgu secondary depression under the extensional tectonic background.Recent shallow seismic reflection profiles and borehole data have found evidence of Holocene activity in the eastern margin of the Daxing Uplift,which has changed the conclusion in recent decades that it has not been active since the late Quaternary.Because the fault is a right order echelon with the Xiadian Fault,and it is similar to the Xiadian Fault in structure,and the Xiadian Fault had the Sanhe-Pinggu M8 earthquake in 1679,it is inferred that the fault has the risk of a large earthquake.It has essential crucial application value to the seismic hazard survey in Beijing.Also,it poses a new challenge to the upper limit of the maximum potential earthquake magnitude of the fault on the eastern margin of the Daxing Uplift.Quaternary sediments cover the fault on the east margin of Daxing Uplift and are in a hidden state,which results in its geometric features and deep and shallow coupling relationships that cannot be visually demonstrated by two-dimensional data two-dimensional data cannot visually demonstrate.It is of great significance to establish a three-dimensional model of hidden active faults for the hazard assessment of seismic active faults.In this paper,by collecting the fine location data of small earthquakes in this area and collating several shallow seismic geophysical profiles and deep seismic reflection profiles,SKUA-GOCAD 3D geological modeling software is used to build 3D models of the eastern margin fault of Daxing Uplift and the Xiadian Fault based on the section modeling method,and the distribution of the two faults in 3D space is simulated.The geometric features and the relationship between the depth and shallow structure of the two faults are reveal

关 键 词：大兴凸起东缘断裂 地震反射剖面 SKUA-GOCAD三维模型 最大潜在地震 

分 类 号：P315.2[天文地球—地震学]