农业社会化服务发展、城市就业与收入分配——理论和证据  

Development of Agricultural Socialized Services,Urban Employment,and Income Distribution:Theory and Evidence

作　　者：伍云云 李晓春[1,2] WU Yunyun;LI Xiaochun(Yangtze River Delta Economics and Social Development Research Center,Nanjing University,Nanjing 210093,China;Business School,Nanjing University,Nanjing 210093,China;School of Finance&Economics,Jiangsu University,Zhenjiang 212013,China)

机构地区：[1]南京大学长三角经济社会发展研究中心,江苏南京210093 [2]南京大学商学院,江苏南京210093 [3]江苏大学财经学院,江苏镇江212013

出　　处：《审计与经济研究》2024年第5期101-114,共14页Journal of Audit & Economics

基　　金：江苏省博士后科研资助(2021K027)。

摘　　要：发展农业社会化服务能够提高农业生产率、替代劳动力投入,从而对农村和城市的经济产生影响。通过建立一个三部门一般均衡模型,分析了农业社会化服务对城市就业、技能溢价和城乡收入差距的影响,并用中国宏观经济数据进行数值模拟分析。研究发现,农业社会化服务发展能够提升农业工资、降低城乡收入差距和失业率;农业社会化服务的专业化在资本部门专有情况下有扩大技能溢价的效果,在资本部门间流动情况下则有缩小技能溢价的效果,而服务普及化的效果与之相反。这些结论丰富了对农业社会化服务体系的研究。The development of agricultural socialized services increases agricultural productivity and substitutes agricultural labor inputs,thus having an impact on both agricultural and urban economies.In this paper,we analyze the urban employment,skill premium and urban-rural income inequality effects of agricultural socialized service development by building a three-sector general equilibrium model and analyze numerically with Chinese macroeconomic data.We draw some practical conclusions,such as the development of agricultural socialized services raising agricultural wage and,reducing the urban-rural income inequality and unemployment rate;the specialization of agricultural socialized services expanding the skill premium in the capital sectoral specific case and narrowing it in the capital mobility case,while the popularization of services generating inverse results.These findings enrich the study of agricultural socialized service systems.

关 键 词：农业社会化服务 专业化 普及化 失业率 收入差距 劳动转移 城市就业 

分 类 号：F061.3[经济管理—政治经济学] F241.4