航线网络仿真模型在远洋运输中的应用  

Application of Navigation Network Simulation Models in Ocean Transport

作　　者：冯亮 赵科 黄珍平[1,2] 穆亚娣 FENG Liang;ZHAO Ke;HUANG Zhenping;MU Yadi(State Key Laboratory of Maritime Technology and Safety,Shanghai Ship and Shipping Research Institute Co.,Ltd.,Shanghai 200135,China;Key Laboratory of Maritime Technology Ministry of Communications,Shanghai Ship and Shipping Research Institute Co.,Ltd.,Shanghai 200135,China;China COSCO SHIPPING Corporation Limited,Shanghai 200127,China)

机构地区：[1]上海船舶运输科学研究所有限公司水路交通控制全国重点实验室,上海200135 [2]上海船舶运输科学研究所有限公司航运技术交通行业重点实验室,上海200135 [3]中国远洋海运集团有限公司,上海200127

出　　处：《上海船舶运输科学研究所学报》2024年第4期11-18,共8页Journal of Shanghai Ship and Shipping Research Institute

摘　　要：针对航运业长期存在的提升船舶运输效率和控制船舶运营成本的问题,基于AnyLogic仿真平台,结合代理人基模型(Agent-Based Model,ABM)和离散事件模拟(Discrete Event Simulation,DES)方法,考虑船舶出港、海上航行、到港装卸货和燃料加注等环节,建立航线网络仿真模型。通过单船-单线案例试验和船队-航线网络优化试验验证该模型的有效性,结果表明:通过优化航速和燃料策略,能显著降低船舶运输成本及其对环境的影响;该模型能模拟和应对市场波动及突发事件,提升航运公司的突发事件应急响应能力和市场适应性。研究结果可为航运企业解决船舶营运问题提供新的视角和方案,对航运企业决策模式的发展产生积极影响。The AnyLogic simulation platform is used to study the operation of shipping industry and find the way of achieving higher efficiency and lower operating costs.A complex shipping network simulation model is constructed by combining ABM(Agent-Based Model)and DES(Discrete Event Simulation)methods.Ship’s departure,navigation,loading and unloading at the port,and fuel filling are modeled.Simulation experiments reveal that transportation costs and impacts of environmental factors can be significantly reduced by optimizing speed and fuel strategies.The simulation model can be used to simulate and respond to market fluctuations and emergencies,and improve the emergency response ability and market adaptability of shipping companies.

关 键 词：远洋运输 航线网络仿真 运营策略优化 

分 类 号：U697.33[交通运输工程—港口、海岸及近海工程]