流通数字化与流通产业链韧性:机理与实证  

Circulation Digitization and Resilience of Circulation Industry Chain:Mechanisms and Empirical Evidence

作　　者：王世进 任杰 司增绰 WANG Shijin;REN Jie;SI Zengchuo(Business School,Jiangsu Normal University,Xuzhou,Jiangsu 221116,China)

机构地区：[1]江苏师范大学商学院,江苏徐州221116

出　　处：《北京工商大学学报（社会科学版）》2024年第5期67-79,共13页JOURNAL OF BEIJING TECHNOLOGY AND BUSINESS UNIVERSITY:SOCIAL SCIENCES

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目“中国区域减污降碳的协同机制与实现路径研究”(23AGL029);江苏高校“青蓝工程”资助项目“多情景视角下江苏区域碳达峰的协同机制与实现路径研究”(苏教师函〔2022〕29号);徐州市政策引导类计划(软科学研究)项目“淮海经济区碳达峰的协同机制与实现路径研究”(KC23097)。

摘　　要：在当前数字化迅速发展的时代背景下,提升流通产业链的韧性是中国实现流通产业链现代化、增强经济韧性的必然要求。基于2012—2021年中国30个省份的数据,探究了流通数字化对流通产业链韧性的影响及其机制。研究发现,流通数字化显著增强了流通产业链韧性,且主要通过提升智慧供应链发展水平和促进创新增强了流通产业链韧性。异质性分析结果表明,流通数字化对流通产业链韧性的正向影响在东部地区更为显著。门槛回归结果显示,当流通数字化水平超过0.4330时,其对流通产业链韧性的提升作用显著增加0.0920个单位。进一步分析发现,流通数字化具有显著的空间溢出效应,能够带动邻近地区流通产业链韧性的提升。因此,应大力推动流通数字化发展,提升智慧供应链发展水平,推进创新发展,同时进一步缩小地区差异,发挥领先地区的示范及带动作用,以提升流通产业链韧性。In the current era of rapid digital development,improving the resilience of circulation industry chain is an inevitable requirement for China to realize the modernization of the circulation industry chain and enhance the resilience of the economy.Based on the data of 30 provincial-level regions in China from 2012 to 2021,this paper explores the impact of circulation digitization on the resilience of circulation industry chain and its mechanisms.The results show that circulation digitization significantly improves the resilience of circulation industry chain,and this effect is mainly achieved by promoting the development of smart supply chains and innovation.Heterogeneity analysis indicates that the positive impact of circulation digitization on the resilience of circulation industry chain is more significant in the eastern region.Threshold regression results reveal that when the circulation digitization level reaches 0.4330,its enhancement effect on the resilience of circulation industry chain significantly increases by 0.0920 units.Further analysis indicates that circulation digitization yields significant spatial spillover effects,thereby substantially bolstering the resilience of circulation industry chain in neighboring regions.Thus,it is imperative to actively promote circulation digitization,elevate the level of smart supply chains,foster innovative development,and further reduce regional disparities by harnessing the exemplary and driving role of leading regions to enhance the resilience of circulation industry chain.

关 键 词：流通数字化 流通产业链韧性 智慧供应链发展 创新 门槛效应 空间溢出效应 

分 类 号：F724[经济管理—产业经济] F27