重度急性有机磷农药中毒患者血液灌流早期临床指标对短期预后的预测价值  

Predictive value of early clinical parameters of hemoperfusion therapy for severe acute organophosphate poisoning on short term outcome

作　　者：董晓光 赵紫薇 王洋[1] Dong Xiaoguang;Zhao Ziwei;Wang Yang(Department of Emergency,Baoding NO.2 Central Hospital,Baoding 072750,Hebei,China;Department of Clinical Laboratory,Baoding NO.2 Central Hospital,Baoding 072750,Hebei,China)

机构地区：[1]保定市第二中心医院急诊科,河北保定072750 [2]保定市第二中心医院检验科,河北保定072750

出　　处：《中国中西医结合急救杂志》2024年第3期319-323,共5页Chinese Journal of Integrated Traditional and Western Medicine in Intensive and Critical Care

基　　金：河北保定市科技计划项目(1951ZF024)。

摘　　要：目的探讨重度急性有机磷农药中毒(AOPP)行血液灌流患者早期相关临床指标对预后的预测价值。方法回顾性分析保定市第二中心医院2018年3月至2022年10月收治的91例重度AOPP患者的临床资料,包括性别、年龄、合并症、体质量指数(BMI)、服毒量、服毒至洗胃时间、血液灌流次数、白细胞计数(WBC)、丙氨酸转氨酶(ALT)、天冬氨酸转氨酶(AST)、总胆红素(TBil)、尿素氮(BUN)、血清胆碱酯酶(ChE)活性、淋巴细胞计数、pH值、动脉血二氧化碳分压(PaCO_(2))、动脉血氧分压(PaO_(2))、血K+、Na+、Cl-以及炎症因子水平、急性生理学与慢性健康状况评分Ⅱ(APACHEⅡ)、格拉斯哥昏迷评分(GCS)等,以及并发症发生情况。根据72 h内预后将患者为死亡组和存活组。比较两组早期临床指标的差异,采用多因素Logistic回归分析影响AOPP患者短期预后的独立危险因素,并绘制受试者工作特征曲线(ROC曲线)分析各危险因素对患者预后的预测效能。结果死亡组年龄明显高于存活组,合并冠心病比例、服毒量、服毒至洗胃时间、入院时WBC、ALT、TNF-α、IL-1β、IL-6水平均明显高于存活组,血液灌流次数、TBil、ChE活性、PaCO_(2)水平均明显低于存活组(均P<0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析显示,服毒量、血液灌流次数、ALT、ChE活性、TNF-α均是影响AOPP患者预后不良的独立危险因素〔优势比(OR)和95%可信区间(95%CI)分别为1.865(1.032~3.370)、2.282(1.406~3.703)、2.522(1.258~5.057)、2.843(1.036~7.802)、2.077(1.107~3.897),均P<0.05〕;ROC曲线分析显示,服毒量、血液灌流次数、ALT、ChE活性、TNF-α及上述指标联合检测对AOPP患者预后均有一定的预测价值,以联合检测的预测价值最高,ROC曲线下面积(AUC)=0.976,95%CI为0.919~0.996;其预测AOPP患者预后的敏感度和特异度分别为100.0%和85.7%,均P<0.05;随着血液灌流次数的增多,与入院时比较,患者WBC、ALT、AST、TBil、血�Objective To explore the prognostic value of early relevant clinical indicators in hemoperfusion patients with severe acute organophosphorus poisoning(AOPP).Methods The clinical data of 91 patients with severe AOPP admitted to Baoding NO.2 Central Hospital from March 2018 to October 2022 were retrospectively analyzed,including gender,age,comorbidities,body mass index(BMI),amount of drug taken,time from drug taking to gastric lavage,number of hemoperfusion,white blood cell count(WBC),alanine aminotransferase(ALT),aspartate aminotransferase(AST),total bilirubin(TBil),blood urea nitrogen(BUN),serum cholinesterase(ChE)activity,lymphocyte count,pH value,arterial partial pressure of carbon dioxide(PaCO2),arterial partial pressure of oxygen(PaO2),blood K+,Na+,Cl-and inflammatory cytokine levels,acute physiology and chronic health evaluationⅡ(APACHEⅡ),Glasgow coma scale(GCS),the occurrence of complications.The patients were divided into the death group and the survival group according to the prognosis within 72 hours.Differences in early clinical indicators between the two groups were compared,independent risk factors affecting the short-term prognosis of AOPP patients were analyzed by multivariate Logistic regression,and the predictive efficacy of each risk factor on the prognosis of patients was analyzed by plotting the receiver operator characteristic curve(ROC curve).Results The age of the death group was significantly higher than that of the survival group,the proportion of complicated with coronary heart disease,patients with dose of poison,time from poison to gastric perfusion,WBC,ALT,TNF-α,IL-1βand IL-6 levels at admission were significantly higher than those in survival group,and the number of hemoperfusion,TBil,ChE activity,PaCO2 were significantly lower than those in survival group(all P<0.05).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that dose of poison,number of hemoperfusion,ALT,ChE activity and TNF-αwere independent risk factors for poor prognosis in AOPP patients[odds ratio(OR)and 95%confide

关 键 词：急性有机磷农药中毒 血液灌流 早期临床指标 短期预后 胆碱酯酶 

分 类 号：R595.4[医药卫生—内科学]