北约印太转向:战略逻辑演进、新动向与前景  

NATO Indo-Pacific Shift:Strategic Logic and Paradox

作　　者：韦宗友[1] 汤杰 WEI Zongyou;TANG Jie(Center for American Studies,Fudan University,Shanghai 200433;School of International Relations&Public Affairs,Fudan University,Shanghai 200433)

机构地区：[1]复旦大学美国研究中心,上海200433 [2]复旦大学国际关系与公共事务学院,上海200433

出　　处：《南洋问题研究》2024年第3期20-32,共13页Southeast Asian Affairs

基　　金：国家社科基金重大研究专项(22VHQ00);教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(22JJD810004);中国海洋发展基金会项目(CODF-AOC202308)。

摘　　要：近年来,在中美战略竞争深化和俄乌冲突两大战略背景下,在美国压力下,北约积极推动印太转向。北约不仅视中国为“系统性挑战”,强调“印太地区对北约重要”和欧亚安全不可分割,还高度“关切”印太海洋安全,加强与日本、韩国、澳大利亚和新西兰“印太四国”机制化联系,推进防务及新兴科技领域务实合作。这一基于“一体化威慑”战略逻辑的北约印太转向,与20世纪90年代及“9·11”事件后基于“合作安全”的战略逻辑大异其趣,表现出新形势下北约印太转向的新动向与新特点。展望未来,受制于北约核心战略利益、军事能力、北约内部分歧及美国国内政治变化等诸多因素限制,北约印太转向始终存在“天花板”,也具有较大不确定性。In recent years,pushed by the United States,NATO has embarked on Indo-Pacific tilt,against the backdrop of deepening China-US strategic competition and Russia-Ukraine war.NATO not only views China as“systemic challenge”,claiming“the Indo-Pacific is important to NATO”and the security development in Indo-Pacific is indivisible to Europe-Atlantic,but also has taken a series of steps to enhance the defense and emerging technology cooperation with its four partner countries in the Indo-Pacific.This“Integrated Deterrence”strategic logic is quite different from the“cooperative security”logic behind the NATO s look to the Asia-Pacific in the 1990s and in the aftermath of“911”terrorist attack.Looking forward,NATO s Indo-Pacific Shift will continue in some aspects,but its defense cooperation with Indo-Pacific countries and involvement in Indo-Pacific security affairs will have its ceiling,given the NATO core tasks and area of responsibility,the inner differences,and above all the U.S.domestic political split and changes.

关 键 词：北约 北约印太转向 印太四国 中美关系 

分 类 号：D814.1[政治法律—国际关系]