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作 者:张思萌 李永生 张雁翔 石伟 刘长生 李俊秋 ZHANG Simeng;LI Yongsheng;ZHANG Yanxiang;SHI Wei;LIU Changsheng;LI Junqiu(Heilongjiang Earthquake Agency,24 Hongxiang Road,Harbin 150090,China)
机构地区:[1]黑龙江省地震局,哈尔滨150090
出 处:《大地测量与地球动力学》2024年第10期1053-1058,共6页Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics
摘 要:在中国地震台网中心统一地震目录的基础上,采用固体潮调制比时空扫描方法,对黑龙江省2009年以来发生的4级以上地震事件进行详细分析,旨在揭示这些地震震前固体潮调制比的时空演化特征。结果表明,7次4级地震中观察到6次地震震前出现了调制比异常,表明调制比异常与地震发生的关联性具有较高的对应率,约为86%,异常区域分布在震中距150 km范围内,异常通常在主震前1.5 a左右出现,呈高值异常,多数在震前5个月内消失或减弱。因此,固体潮调制比分析方法对黑龙江省4级以上地震的预测具有一定的指示意义。By using the time-space scanning method,based on the unified earthquake catalog of China Earthquake Network Center,we analyze the temporal and spatial characteristics of earth tide modulation ratio before M_S≥4 earthquakes in Heilongjiang province since 2009.The results show that among the 7 cases of M_S≥4 earthquakes,there are 6 cases of abnormal modulation ratio before the earthquake,the corresponding rate of earthquake occurrence is about 86%.The abnormal areas are distributed within 150 km from the epicenter.The anomalies usually appear around a year and a half before the main earthquake,presenting high value anomalies,most of which disappear or weaken within 5 months before the earthquake.Therefore,the method of earth tide modulation ratio analysis has a certain indicative significance for the earthquake prediction of M_S≥4 in Heilongjiang Province.
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