城市轨道交通快慢车运行延误调整方案仿真评价模型  

Simulation and Evaluation Model of Operation Delay Adjustment Plan for Urban Rail Transit Express and Local Trains

作　　者：李洪运 江志彬[1,2] 赵源 来佳雯 LI Hongyun;JIANG Zhibin;ZHAO Yuan;LAI Jiawen(The Key Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering,Ministry of Education,201804,Shanghai,China;Shanghai Key Laboratory of Rail Infrastructure Durability and System Safety,201804,Shanghai,China;Operation Management Center,Shanghai Shentong Metro Group Co.,Ltd.,201100,Shanghai,China)

机构地区：[1]同济大学道路与交通工程教育部重点实验室,上海201804 [2]上海市轨道交通结构耐久与系统安全重点实验室,上海201804 [3]上海申通地铁集团有限公司运营管理中心,上海201100

出　　处：《城市轨道交通研究》2024年第9期25-30,39,共7页Urban Mass Transit

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(52372332);上海申通地铁集团有限公司科研计划项目(JS-KY22R033-2)。

摘　　要：[目的]制定合理的列车运行延误调整方案,是保证城市轨道交通线路运营安全、可靠的重点工作之一。对于开行快慢车的城市轨道交通线路,需要研究列车运行延误后乘客的选择列车行为,并分析快慢车越行对乘客出行选择的影响。[方法]对快慢车线路运行过程中乘客的留乘现象及乘客选择列车行为进行了分析,设计了符合乘客上下车规则和乘客选择列车行为的仿真算法,构建了快慢车运行延误调整方案仿真评价模型。考虑快慢车的始发时间、顺序,以及越行的车次、站点,制定了不同的列车运行延误调整方案。对上海轨道交通16号线原有的计划方案、4个延误调整方案下乘客的出行过程进行了仿真,并对4个延误调整方案进行了综合评价。[结果及结论]该仿真评价模型具有有效性和可靠性,既可为城市轨道交通运营企业评价列车开行方案提供仿真手段,也可为乘客服务水平提升、列车运能利用率提高、列车开行方案优化等提供依据。[Objective]Making a reasonable train delay adjustment plan is one of the key tasks to ensure the safe and reliable operation of urban rail transit lines.For those lines with express and local trains running on,it is necessary to study the passengers′train selection behavior during train delays,and analyze the influence of express and local trains overtaking on their choices as well.[Method]An analysis is conducted on passenger retention and their train selection behavior during express and local train operation on the line.A simulation algorithm that conforms to the rules of passenger boarding/alighting and their train selection behavior is designed,and a simulation and evaluation model for the operation plan adjustment due to express and local train delay is established.In consideration of the departure time and sequence of the express and local trains,and the overtaking trains and stations,different train delay adjustment plans are developed.The passenger′s travel process under the original operation plan and four delay adjustment plans on Shanghai Metro Line 16 is simulated,and the four delay adjustment plans are comprehensively evaluated.[Result&Conclusion]The simulation and evaluation model is effective and reliable,which can provide simulation means for urban rail transit operators to evaluate train operation plans,and also provide the basis for improving passenger service level,train capacity utilization rate and train operation plans.

关 键 词：城市轨道交通 行车组织 列车运行延误调整 快慢车 乘客出行仿真 

分 类 号：U292.4[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]