中国水利现代化时空分异特征  

Spatiotemporal differentiation characteristics of China’s water conservancy modernization

作　　者：吴丹[1] 王亚华[2] 潘朱玲 WU Dan;WANG Yahua;PAN Zhuling(School of Economics&Management,North China University of Technology,Beijing 100144,China;School of Public Policy&Management,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China)

机构地区：[1]北方工业大学经济管理学院,北京100144 [2]清华大学公共管理学院,北京100084

出　　处：《水利水电科技进展》2024年第5期23-31,共9页Advances in Science and Technology of Water Resources

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目(22AZD050);国家社会科学基金后期资助项目(22FGLB016);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(21YJCZH176);清华大学文科建设“双高”计划专项(2021TSG08204);北京市自然科学基金项目(9244023,9232007)。

摘　　要：为明晰水利现代化时空分异特征,构建了包含资源、环境、生态和安全需求保障四大目标、14项准则的水利现代化评价指标体系,提出了结合目标一致性方法、变异系数法和层次加权法的水利现代化综合评价方法,对中国及各省(自治区、直辖市)水利现代化实现程度进行了评价,分析了中国及各省(自治区、直辖市)水利现代化时空分异特征。评价结果表明:中国水利现代化经历了发动期、加速期和提速期,总体实现程度较好,资源、安全需求保障的实现程度高,但环境、生态需求保障的实现程度较低;各省(自治区、直辖市)加快推进水利现代化,东部和中部地区明显快于西部和东北地区,资源、安全需求保障实现程度较好,环境需求保障实现程度相对滞后,生态需求保障实现程度较差;现阶段,各省(自治区、直辖市)亟需加快水生态环境建设,提高环境、生态需求保障,加速推动水利高质量发展,以推进中国水利现代化进程。In order to clarify the spatiotemporal differentiation characteristics of water conservancy modernization,an evaluation index system for water conservancy modernization was constructed,including four major goals of demand guarantee for resource,environment,ecology,and security,and 14 criteria.A comprehensive evaluation method for water conservancy modernization was proposed,integrating the goal consistency method,coefficient of variation method,and hierarchical weighting method.The level of water conservancy modernization in China and its provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)was evaluated,and the spatiotemporal differentiation characteristics were analyzed.The evaluation results show that China’s water conservancy modernization has gone through an initiation period,an acceleration period,and a speed-up period,with a generally high level of achievement.The levels of achievement in resource and security demand guarantees are high,but those for environmental and ecological demand guarantees are relatively low.Provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)are accelerating the process of water conservancy modernization,with the eastern and central regions progressing significantly faster than the western and northeastern regions.Resource and security demand guarantees have been well achieved,while environmental demand guarantee lags behind,and ecological demand guarantee is poorly met.At present,provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)in China urgently need to accelerate the construction of water ecological environment,improve the guarantee levels for environmental and ecological demands,and accelerate the promotion of high-quality development in water conservancy to advance the process of water conservancy modernization in China.

关 键 词：水利现代化 时空分异特征 需求保障 实现程度 中国 

分 类 号：TV211[水利工程—水文学及水资源]