RCEP区域农产品贸易的网络特征及影响因素分析  

The network characteristics and influencing factors of agricultural products trade in RCEP region

作　　者：徐邵文 张蕙杰[2] 钱静斐[1] XU Shao-wen;ZHANG Hui-jie;QIAN Jing-fei(Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development,Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Beijing 100081,China;Agricultural Information Institute,Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Beijing 100081,China)

机构地区：[1]中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所,北京100081 [2]中国农业科学院农业信息研究所,北京100081

出　　处：《自然资源学报》2024年第9期2206-2223,共18页Journal of Natural Resources

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(21&ZD093);中国农业科学院基本科研业务费专项(1610052022023);中国农业科学院创新工程(10-IAED-04-2023);现代农业产业技术体系专项(CARS-08)。

摘　　要：RCEP的签署与实施为中国农产品贸易高质量发展提供了重要机遇。运用社会网络分析法刻画农产品贸易网络特征,采用拓展引力模型分析RCEP区域农产品贸易影响因素。结果表明:(1)全球农产品贸易网络空间凝聚力持续增强,连通性显著提高,贸易规模不断扩展,呈现“中心—边缘”结构;(2)RCEP成员国进口格局多样化趋势明显,出口稳步增长,农产品贸易伙伴不断增加,贸易地位出现分化态势,逐渐形成以中国为核心的单核结构;(3)经济制度质量提升和签订自贸协定有利于改善贸易环境,降低贸易成本,促进农产品贸易。据此,提出中国应充分利用RCEP实施契机,发挥在区域内的核心影响力,推动高质量规则落地,形成区域高互补性农产品市场,提升农产品出口竞争力。The signing and implementation of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership(RCEP)have provided crucial external opportunities for the high-quality development of China's agricultural products trade.This paper uses the social network analysis method to characterize the agricultural products trade network,and utilizes the extended gravity model to analyze the influencing factors in agricultural products trade within the RCEP region.The results show that:(1)The spatial cohesion of the global agricultural products trade network continues to increase,the connectivity is significantly improved,and the trade scale continues to expand,with a distinctive"center-periphery"structure.(2)RCEP member countries demonstrate a clear trend of diversified import patterns,coupled with steady growth in exports.The number of global agricultural products trade partners continues to rise,leading to a differentiation in trade status and gradually forming a single-core structure centered around China.(3)The improvement in the quality of economic institutions and the signing of Free Trade Agreement(FTA)contribute to enhancing the agricultural products trade environment,reducing trade costs,and promoting agricultural products trade.It is suggested that China should fully utilize the opportunity of RCEP implementation,exert its core influence within the RCEP region,promote the implementation of RECP high-quality rules,form a highly complementary agricultural products market within the region,and enhance the export competitiveness of agricultural products.

关 键 词：RCEP 农产品贸易 贸易网络 拓展引力模型 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济] F752F744