社区干扰、外国干预与中国在拉美国家资源类投资的安全风险  

Community Resistance,Foreign Intervention,and Security Risks of Chinese Resource Investments in Latin American Countries

作　　者：宋亦明 戴璐璟 Song Yiming;Dai Lujing

机构地区：[1]北京外国语大学国际关系学院

出　　处：《拉丁美洲研究》2024年第4期49-75,151,152,共29页Journal of Latin American Studies

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目“‘一带一路’资源基础设施互联互通的政治风险研究”(编号:2023ZX026)的阶段性成果。

摘　　要：开放经济条件下跨国因素对国家安全的影响正迅速凸显,如何识别海外安全风险、保障海外安全利益业已成为函待回应的时代命题。拉美国家因其优渥的资源赋吸引着中国的投资,但其复杂的政治和社会环境又潜藏着严峻的投资安全风险。为了揭示中国在拉美资源类投资安全风险的来源,本文尝试与关于资源类对外投资安全的既有研究进行对话,通过模糊集定性比较分析以及对中国企业在厄瓜多尔、秘鲁、委内瑞拉、圭亚那等国家资源投资的案例考察,检视政府效能、腐败程度、民众参与等诸多因素对投资安全的影响。研究发现,由环境保护、劳工保障和居民安置等方面问题激发的社区干扰以及来自域外大国及邻国的第三方干预已经成为中国在拉美资源领域投资中不容忽视的风险。基于此,相较于从国有化政策、国家脆弱性、民粹主义风潮等国家层面理解海外安全风险的成熟研究,本文分别在地方层面和超国家层面进一步凸显了社区干扰和外国干预两个因素对分析中国在拉美资源类投资安全风险的价值。The influence of transnational elements on national security in the context of an open economy is rapidly gaining importance.Identifying overseas security threats and ensuring the protection of security interests abroad has become a critical issue of our time.Resource-rich Latin American countries are magnets for Chinese investment.However,their complex political and social environments also pose significant risks to investment security.This study attempts to engage with existing researches on overseas investment security in order to identify the sources of security risks associated with China's resource investments in Latin America.Using fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis and case studies of Chinese firms'resource investments in countries such as Ecuador,Peru,Venezuela and Guyana,the study examines the impact of government effectiveness,corruption level and public engagement on investment security.The study argues that community resistance triggered by concerns over environmental protection,labour rights and resettlement issues,plus third-party interference from external powers and neighbouring states,constitute a set of investment risks for China's resource investment in Latin America that can no longer be overlooked.Compared to existing researches that consider overseas security risks from national perspectives,such as expropriation,state fragility and populism,this research further emphasises the importance of community resistance and foreign intervention in analysing the security risks of China's resource investment in Latin America from local and supranational perspectives.

关 键 词：海外安全 政治风险 资源投资 社区干扰 外国干预 

分 类 号：F125[经济管理—世界经济]