自由贸易协定纵向深化对中国出口商品结构的影响——以CAFTA升级为准自然实验  

he impact of vertical deepening of free trade agreements on China’s export commodity structure——Natural experiment based on the upgrading of CAFTA

作　　者：张莉 ZHANG Li(School of Economics,Management and Law,Hubei Normal University,Huangshi,Hubei 435002;Research Center for Transformation and Development of Resource Depletion Cities,Hubei Normal University,Huangshi,Hubei 435002)

机构地区：[1]湖北师范大学经济管理与法学院,湖北黄石435002 [2]湖北师范大学资源枯竭城市转型发展研究中心,湖北黄石435002

出　　处：《价格月刊》2024年第10期85-94,共10页

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目“FTAs深化对出口贸易高质量发展的影响研究”(编号:23BJY230)。

摘　　要：自由贸易协定纵向深化是中国推进自由贸易区提升战略的重要内容,厘清其对出口商品结构优化的影响对实现出口贸易高质量发展具有重要意义。基于中国-东盟自由贸易区升级视角,运用双重差分法系统研究了自由贸易协定纵向深化对中国出口商品结构的影响。结果显示,自由贸易协定纵向深化对中国出口商品结构优化具有显著正向作用,这种正向效应在基础制造业中更凸显;自由贸易协定纵向深化通过价值链整合效应、外商投资激励效应和生产效率促进效应等途径显著促进了出口商品结构优化。基于此,提出了持续推进FTA纵向深化、扩大面向全球的高标准自由贸易区网络,畅通FTA纵向深化促进出口商品结构优化的作用渠道,推动装备制造业深度融入自由贸易区市场等对策建议。The vertical deepening of free trade agreements is an important part of China’s strategy to promote the upgrading of free trade areas,and it is of great significance to clarify its impact on the optimization of the structure of export commodities to achieve high-quality development of export trade.Based on the perspective of upgrading of China-Asean Free Trade Area,this paper studies the impact of vertical deepening of free trade agreement on China’s export commodity structure by using the difference-in-differences method.The results show that the vertical deepening of free trade agreements has a significant positive effect on optimizing China’s export commodity structure,and this positive effect is more prominent in the basic manufacturing industry.;The vertical deepening of free trade agreements has significantly promoted the optimization of export commodity structure through value chain integration effects,foreign investment incentive effects,and production efficiency promotion effects.Based on this,this paper puts forward countermeasures and suggestions such as continuously promoting the vertical deepening of FTA,expanding the global network of high standard free trade areas,smooth the vertical deepening of FTA to promote the optimization of export commodity structure,and promote the deep integration of equipment manufacturing industry into the free trade area market.

关 键 词：自由贸易协定 纵向深化 出口商品结构 中国-东盟自由贸易区 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]