长三角城市群城市韧性与区域经济发展水平耦合协调研究  

Research on the Coupling Coordination Between Urban Resilience and the Development Levels of Regional Economy in the Yangtze River Delta Urban Cluster

作　　者：程建华 陈冉 CHENG Jianhua;CHEN Ran(Anhui Jianzhu University,Hefei 230601,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽建筑大学公共管理学院,安徽合肥230601

出　　处：《金陵科技学院学报（社会科学版）》2024年第3期18-25,共8页Journal of Jinling Institute of Technology(Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：安徽省社会科学创新发展研究课题“安徽省新业态领域重大风险防范与化解机制研究”(2023CX200)。

摘　　要：城市韧性与区域经济发展水平的协调度是衡量区域高质量发展的重要指标。以长三角城市群27个中心城市为研究对象,构建城市韧性与区域经济发展水平评价指标体系,利用熵值法对2011—2022年的面板数据进行耦合协调分析,测度城市韧性与区域经济发展耦合协调水平。结果表明,城市韧性与区域经济发展水平均呈波动上升趋势,且后者略优于前者,在空间演化上呈“东高西低、连片发展、南北边缘低、差异化显著”的特征;两大系统的耦合度和协调度呈“同频”发展趋势,指标差距逐渐收敛,整体上呈“以上海为中心向城市群外围圈层递减”的空间分布格局;在协调等级划分上,初级协调城市占比较大,中高级协调城市占比较小。建议从统筹城市韧性理念、释放空间集聚效应、缩小城市群内部差距、打造高质量发展城市群等方面推进城市韧性与区域经济发展的协同发展。The coordination degree between urban resilience and the development levels of regional economy is an important indicator for measuring high-quality regional development.Taking 27 central cities in the Yangtze River Delta urban cluster as the research object,an index system is constructed to evaluate urban resilience and the development levels of regional economy,using the entropy value method to conduct an analysis of coupling coordination model based on the panel data from 2011 to 2022,and measuring the coupling coordination level between urban resilience and regional economic development.The results indicate that urban resilience and the development levels of regional economy both show an upward trend year by year,with the development levels of regional economy slightly outperforming urban resilience,in terms of spatial evolution,it is characterized by high in the east,low in the west,contiguous development,low in the north and south edges,and significant differentiation;The coupling and coordination degrees between the two systems show a synchronous development tendency with the gap between the indicators gradually closing,and the overall trend is Shanghai as the center to the city cluster periphery circle decreasing in terms of spatial pattern;When it comes to rating coordination,there are more primary coordinated cities than intermediate and advanced coordinated cities.As a result,it is recommended to propel the coordinated development between urban resilience and the development levels of regional economy by integrating urban resilience concepts,leveraging spatial agglomeration effects,alleviating internal differences within urban clusters,and creating highly coordinated and high-quality urban clusters.

关 键 词：长三角城市群 城市韧性 区域经济发展 耦合协调 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]