基于灰色关联分析的断层突水阶段化感知方法  

Staged sensing method of fault sudden water based on gray correlation analysis

作　　者：孙文斌[1] 张纪扬 王晓[1] 杨辉[1] 樊建聪 ABDUMALIK Olimov SUN Wenbin;ZHANG Jiyang;WANG Xiao;YANG Hui;FAN Jiancong;ABDUMALIK Olimov(College of Energy and Mining Engineering,Shandong University of Science and Technology,Qingdao Shandong 266590,China;College of Computer Science and Engineering,Shandong University of Science and Technology,Qingdao Shandong 266590,China;Department of Geology and Oil and Gas Works,Mining-metallurgy Institute of Tajikistan,Sugd 735730,Tajikistan)

机构地区：[1]山东科技大学能源与矿业工程学院,山东青岛266590 [2]山东科技大学计算机科学与工程学院,山东青岛266590 [3]塔吉克斯坦冶金学院地质与油气工程系,塔吉克斯坦苦盏735730

出　　处：《中国安全科学学报》2024年第7期63-70,共8页China Safety Science Journal

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目资助(52274131);泰山学者工程专项经费项目(tsqn202211152);陕西省煤矿水害防治技术重点实验室开放基金资助(2021SKZD02);煤炭资源高效开采与洁净利用国家重点实验室开放基金资助(2021-CMCU-KF017)。

摘　　要：为提升煤矿断层水害感知水平,提出一种以断层活化演变机制和关键控制因素识别的断层突水阶段化感知方法,通过断层突水演化过程相似模拟试验研究工作面底板与断层破坏的演化特征,以底板破坏带应力、断层裂隙带应力、导水通道内水压等为阶段监测参数,揭示各监测参数与涌水量变化的阶段特征;结合灰色关联性分析法,判定断层突水阶段转化的关键控制因素,进而根据断层突水分析与研究过程,提出断层突水阶段化感知方法。结果表明:底板破坏带、断层裂隙带的应力,导水通道内的水压等监测参数的数值变化特征在断层活化突水过程中呈现出明显的阶段特征,控制因素与涌水量的灰色关联度排序为:底板破坏带应力>断层裂隙带应力>导水通道水压,通过对关键控制因素的识别,可实现断层突水阶段的感知,揭示基于灰色关联分析的感知方法在原理上具备可行性。In order to improve the perception level of fault water damage in coal mine,a fault water inrush stage sensing method based on fault activation evolution mechanism and key control factors was proposed.The evolution characteristics of working face floor and fault failure were studied through similar simulation tests of fault water inrush evolution process.The stage characteristics of monitoring parameters and the change of water inflow were revealed by taking the stress in the failure zone of floor,the stress in the fracture zone of fault and the water pressure in the water channel as the stage monitoring parameters.The key controlling factors of water inrush phase transformation were determined by grey correlation analysis method.Then,according to the fault water inrush analysis and research process,the fault water inrush stage perception method was proposed.The study determines that the numerical variation characteristics of monitoring parameters such as stress of floor failure zone,fault fracture zone and water pressure in water channel show obvious stage characteristics during fault activation water inrush.The order of grey correlation degree between control factors and water inflow is as follows:stress in floor failure zone>stress in fault fracture zone>water pressure in water channel,through identification of key control factors.Through the identification of key control factors,the perception of fault water inrush stage can be realized,and the perception method based on grey correlation analysis is feasible in principle.

关 键 词：灰色关联性分析 断层突水 阶段化感知 关键控制因素 相似模拟试验 

分 类 号：X936[环境科学与工程—安全科学]